Search found 338 matches

by ghrcap
Mon Jan 05, 2015 6:34 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: spread sheets
Replies: 10
Views: 2794

Re: spread sheets

"The problem today is that no one has confidence in the price of oil and gas."

This is the obvious rub.

I noticed Johnson Rice today, for example, lowered their 2015 price deck to $60 for WTI and $3.25 for natural gas.
by ghrcap
Sun Nov 23, 2014 6:55 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Sweet 16 Update - November 16
Replies: 8
Views: 2259

Re: Sweet 16 Update - November 16

Where is the Elite Eight discussed? The last archived newsletter I can find is #97 from the end of October.
by ghrcap
Mon Nov 17, 2014 8:51 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Denbury Resources (DNR)
Replies: 3
Views: 1272

Re: Denbury Resources (DNR)

This has turned out to be a bad idea as the company announced it will only pay $0.40 in 2015, not $0.50, and will cut its CAPEX by half to maintain flattish production. The stock is trading at $10.50 in the pre-market on no growth, smaller dividend and senior operations management sacking. At least ...
by ghrcap
Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:22 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Oasis Petroleum (OAS)
Replies: 6
Views: 1837

Re: Oasis Petroleum (OAS)

There will be cost to this proposed treatment, but will it retard production until treatment is up to full capacity? North Dakota regulators today proposed standards for requiring energy companies to treat the crude they pump from the Bakken Shale to make it less volatile before shipment by pipeline...
by ghrcap
Thu Oct 30, 2014 2:59 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Denbury Resources (DNR)
Replies: 3
Views: 1272

Re: Denbury Resources (DNR)

I have shorted the November $12 Puts to own DNR at $11.75 net. You can capture $0.35 premium today to beat my net coming into it. We'll get the declared dividend too.
by ghrcap
Wed Oct 29, 2014 2:51 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Winter Weather Forecast
Replies: 4
Views: 1935

Re: Winter Weather Forecast

The weather forecasts for this weekend in the Northeast are starting to play our tune and NG added 8 cents in New York.
by ghrcap
Tue Oct 28, 2014 7:20 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: my take, fwiw
Replies: 4
Views: 1378

Re: my take, fwiw

I was looking at CWEI and thought this comment by Richard Zeits, a frequent writer for Seeking Alpha, makes sense especially as more $75 stabilized calls are made for WTI: "...The sharp decline in the price of oil creates valuation uncertainty across the entire E&P sector. The key concern i...
by ghrcap
Sat Oct 25, 2014 2:59 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Winter Weather Forecast
Replies: 4
Views: 1935

Re: Winter Weather Forecast

Should Joe have this right, watching the bears have to make a U-turn the next few weeks on their NG positioning will be a beautiful sight.
by ghrcap
Fri Oct 24, 2014 11:49 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: PTEN reports
Replies: 5
Views: 1387

Re: PTEN reports

The concerns I'm seeing center around margins in pressure pumping where PTEN was a little light according to Johnson Rice, for example.
by ghrcap
Fri Oct 24, 2014 11:46 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: SN update
Replies: 4
Views: 1342

Re: SN update

From RBC: "Downside scenario Our downside case for Sanchez Energy assumes that Catarina, the non-Alexander Ranch Cotulla acreage and the TMS are ultimately not economic. We also assume some downside to commodity pricing. Our downside scenario assumes a lower long-term price deck of $85 oil and ...