Search found 92 matches

by dave_n
Thu Dec 08, 2022 4:24 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Daily update (weather from celsius), latest
Replies: 5
Views: 1167

Re: Daily update (weather from celsius), latest

I'd also add that RRC, EQT, CRK, and AR all fell below their 50-day moving average this week.
by dave_n
Tue Oct 18, 2022 7:35 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: sbow
Replies: 2
Views: 734

Re: sbow

I believe that the selling pressure may also be caused by the limited duration stockholder rights plan that was passed to protect interests of long-term shareholders from takeover. If there was a big buyer out there (which I assume there was if they passed this plan), then that suitor is likely unlo...
by dave_n
Thu Jun 09, 2022 6:42 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Sweet 16 Updated Valuations - June 8
Replies: 4
Views: 942

Re: Sweet 16 Updated Valuations - June 8

Dan, thanks for all the great info. Have you recently looked at CPG (Crescent Point Energy)? Not sure if you're open to another Canadian oil play. In my opinion, it's worth a look through their latest investor presentation. Netback around $60/Boe. Projected excess cash flow for 2022 of $1.2-1.4B usi...
by dave_n
Sun Apr 12, 2020 8:30 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Oil Storage Tanks are filling up - April 10
Replies: 5
Views: 2112

Re: Oil Storage Tanks are filling up - April 10

Dan, in my opinion, Texas RRC needs to limit production to provide the market assurance that producers won't ramp up production at first sight of $50 oil. Otherwise, the market participants will assume a return to prior production levels. Without some mandated cap (or massive consolidation), I just ...
by dave_n
Tue Mar 10, 2020 1:15 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: PAA and PAGP for High Yield - Feb 16
Replies: 2
Views: 1845

Re: PAA and PAGP for High Yield - Feb 16

Dan, any sense on what is pressuring PAA? Of all pipeline companies, this one has a good dividend coverage ratio. They've improved their debt profile as well. The only thing I can think impacting them is that supply from Permian is at risk with low oil prices. I have to think with connections going ...
by dave_n
Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:28 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Gulfport PV
Replies: 1
Views: 1167

Gulfport PV

Dan, I was going through your model of Gulfport this morning. Thank you as always. My concern is around their proved reserve calculation going into year-end. In looking at their 2018 10-K, there is following statement under "Proved Undeveloped Reserves": "As noted above, our December ...
by dave_n
Fri Dec 20, 2019 5:25 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Spike in the active rig count - all in Texas
Replies: 2
Views: 1067

Re: Spike in the active rig count - all in Texas

No!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That would explain the precipitous drop today.
by dave_n
Wed Nov 20, 2019 12:41 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Lonestar Resources (LONE) Update for Q3 - Nov 11
Replies: 9
Views: 3179

Re: Lonestar Resources (LONE) Update for Q3 - Nov 11

Lonestar hit a 52 week low today. Anybody aware of what might be driving this after such a strong quarter? Especially on a day where oil is trending up?
by dave_n
Mon Nov 18, 2019 1:34 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: GPOR hunkers down: lower/longer NG
Replies: 4
Views: 2193

Re: GPOR hunkers down: lower/longer NG

Overall, this sounds like good news. The two board members who are stepping down could be replaced by candidates with more energy experience. You can see profiles for Streller and Groeschel at link below: https://www.gulfportenergy.com/about/board-of-directors I also think suspending stock repurchas...
by dave_n
Mon Oct 14, 2019 9:47 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Parsley Energy (PE) to acquire Jagged Peak (JAG) - Oct 14
Replies: 6
Views: 2608

Re: Parsley Energy (PE) to acquire Jagged Peak (JAG) - Oct 1

And unfortunately, that puts you on the daily "most active" and "biggest losers" list. All stock deals dilute shareholder value and will not be perceived favorably by the market. If it's that good of a deal, pay cash.