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by dan_s
Fri May 17, 2024 12:16 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Natural Gas Prices - May 17
Replies: 0
Views: 5

Natural Gas Prices - May 17

Trading Economics "US natural gas futures rose toward $2.60/MMBtu, the highest in four months, after EIA reported a smaller-than-expected storage build. US utilities added 70 billion cubic feet (bcf) of gas into storage last week, below market expectations of a 76 bcf increase. However, the rep...
by dan_s
Fri May 17, 2024 10:16 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Tornados in Houston Area - late on May 16
Replies: 0
Views: 29

Tornados in Houston Area - late on May 16

We were not impacted by the storms in Sugar Land, but Sabrina's area was hit hard. Her family and their home are OK, but power in her area will likely be out for several days as lots of power poles were snapped in half by 100 mph winds.
by dan_s
Fri May 17, 2024 8:39 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Oil Price Forecast - May 17
Replies: 0
Views: 40

Oil Price Forecast - May 17

HFI Research: "The outlook for oil prices is improving. Over the coming weeks, we expect prices to stabilize as refinery maintenance ends and the summer driving season begins. The third quarter will likely see a large supply deficit, which should draw down global oil inventories and push price...
by dan_s
Thu May 16, 2024 3:25 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Coterra Energy (CTRA) Valuation Update - May 16
Replies: 0
Views: 48

Coterra Energy (CTRA) Valuation Update - May 16

This gasser is starting to get a lot more love from the Wall Street Gang. I have updated my forecast and posted it to the EPG website. My valuation increases by $2 to $32/share. TipRanks: "In the last 3 months, 16 ranked analysts set 12-month price targets for CTRA. The average price target amo...
by dan_s
Thu May 16, 2024 12:00 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Analysis of a merged Crescent/Silverbow company
Replies: 2
Views: 205

Re: Analysis of a merged Crescent/Silverbow company

KKR's involvement is significant and important; they hold 15% of the CRGY stock. There are "Heavy Hitters" involved in Crescent Energy. > There were lots of highly respected energy sector analysts on this morning's conference call. > With over 250,000 Boepd of current production and lots o...
by dan_s
Thu May 16, 2024 11:52 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: InPlay Oil (IPOOF) Valuation Update - May 16
Replies: 0
Views: 54

InPlay Oil (IPOOF) Valuation Update - May 16

At the time of this post IPOOF was trading for $1.66US. < Just over 2X CFPS, which is super cheap. The share price is below PV10 NAV of just their proved reserves. My valuation increases by $0.45US to $4.15US per share ($5.60Cdn). First Call's price target is $4.01Cdn per share, which is approximate...
by dan_s
Thu May 16, 2024 11:32 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: InPlay Oil (IPOOF) Q1 Results - May 16
Replies: 0
Views: 37

InPlay Oil (IPOOF) Q1 Results - May 16

InPlay's Q1 production was below my forecast of 9,000 Boepd just because of their well completion schedule as discussed below. The Company's Adjusted Operating Cash flow came in above my forecast because of lower royalty expense, operating expenses and transportation expenses. Several high rate well...
by dan_s
Thu May 16, 2024 10:16 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: EIA Natural Gas Storage Report - May 16
Replies: 1
Views: 57

EIA Natural Gas Storage Report - May 16

Working gas in storage was 2,633 Bcf as of Friday, May 10, 2024, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net increase of 70 Bcf from the previous week. < Increase is 19 Bcf below the 5-year average build for this week. Stocks were 421 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 620 Bcf above th...
by dan_s
Thu May 16, 2024 9:52 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: SilverBow will be merging into Crescent Energy (CRGY)
Replies: 2
Views: 249

Re: SilverBow will be merging into Crescent Energy (CRGY)

1st Quarter Production ------------------------- CRGY + SBOW = Combined Crude Oil >>>>>>> 70,363 + 24,538 = 94,901 bpd Natural Gas >>>>> 403,341 + 297,725 = 701,066 mcfpd NGLs >>>>>>>>>> 28,220 + 17,198 = 45,418 bpd Total Boepd >>>> 165,806 + 91,357 = 257,163 Boepd < 36.9% oil, 45.4% ngas and 17.7% ...
by dan_s
Thu May 16, 2024 8:46 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: SilverBow will be merging into Crescent Energy (CRGY)
Replies: 2
Views: 249

Re: SilverBow will be merging into Crescent Energy

Crescent CEO David Rockecharlie said, "The combination with SilverBow, which is expected to be immediately accretive to all key per share metrics, solidifies Crescent as a leading operator in the Eagle Ford and strengthens the company’s growth platform with increased scale. The SilverBow team h...