Search found 50 matches

by mattreue
Sun Jan 06, 2019 11:19 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hi-Crush Partners LP (HCLP) Update - Jan 3
Replies: 4
Views: 1762

Re: Hi-Crush Partners LP (HCLP) Update - Jan 3

"My only concern is that they may suspend distributions for a couple of quarters (see row 50 on the spreadsheet). However, they have more than enough liquidity to continue them at $0.225/quarter if they wish" After riding down from an average buy price of about $11 to selling at $6.11, I a...
by mattreue
Fri Dec 21, 2018 12:09 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Parsley Energy (PE) Update - Dec 20
Replies: 5
Views: 2119

Re: Parsley Energy (PE) Update - Dec 20

Dan, did you notice that the 20% increase in production next year is at a much higher cost for that extra 20% than the 68% increase in production they obtained for 2018? ie They spent 1.75B in 2018 to grow production 68% (IIRC), and now are spending 1.45B for 20% increase. Still spending more on CAP...
by mattreue
Mon Nov 12, 2018 12:30 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Why has oil pulled back to $60/bbl???
Replies: 4
Views: 1576

Re: Why has oil pulled back to $60/bbl???

Dan, you stated your source was Bloomberg, but everything quoted is from Eric Nutall's newsletter. I could not find anything on Bloomberg quoting this.
by mattreue
Tue Oct 23, 2018 8:13 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hi-Crush to acquire GP for equity
Replies: 6
Views: 2418

Re: Hi-Crush to acquire GP for equity

But the concern is not the demand for sand, but the supply of cheaper sand. I know the argument for higher quality of NW sand. I am still long HCLP, because I hate selling at a loss. And the company makes a profit. Just not as much, I guess.
by mattreue
Mon Oct 22, 2018 9:09 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hi-Crush to acquire GP for equity
Replies: 6
Views: 2418

Re: Hi-Crush to acquire GP for equity

What do you think, Dan? Looks like Avista decided to bail. With no one on the board, they are free to sell the units they received in the market, right? Looks like the partnership is getting ready for tough times.."softness in the market that continues today" With today's drop in price I a...
by mattreue
Fri Oct 05, 2018 10:53 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hi-Crush Update - Sept 26
Replies: 14
Views: 4977

Re: Hi-Crush Update - Sept 26

The only real issue is new supply of in-basin sand coming online . The issue there is quality. NWS is the best for its uniformity. I read different reports. Some companies having problems with in basin sand. Other companies using a mix of sand. I guess we will find out in 6 months.
by mattreue
Fri Oct 05, 2018 9:43 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hi-Crush Update - Sept 26
Replies: 14
Views: 4977

Re: Hi-Crush Update - Sept 26

This weakness in HCLP price is crazy. Especially when you review Dan's analysis which has been updated with the latest guidance from the company. This resembles the mid 2016 environment when I bought pipeline MLPs with above 20% yields, thinking that even if they slash the distribution by 50% you st...
by mattreue
Thu Oct 04, 2018 7:29 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Why does CLR lead the pack?
Replies: 5
Views: 2179

Re: Why does CLR lead the pack?

But CLR still has the least amount of hedges (if any) of oil producers, right? Isn't this helping them as a bet on oil prices increasing?
by mattreue
Thu Oct 04, 2018 7:24 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hi-Crush Update - Sept 26
Replies: 14
Views: 4977

Re: Hi-Crush Update - Sept 26

Recent weakness in HCLP has me nibbling and adding some more.
by mattreue
Tue Oct 02, 2018 10:12 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: RING Energy (REI) downgrade
Replies: 4
Views: 1864

RING Energy (REI) downgrade

Wow. Seaport Securities issued a downgrade for Ring from Buy to Hold. With a PT of $12. But yet the stock has sold off over 22% to $8.30 this morning on heavy volume. That is upside of almost 50% from the price now. Anyone have any news? I cannot get my hands on the actual Seaport report. "Ring...