Matador Resources (MTDR) Update - Sept 22

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dan_s
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Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Matador Resources (MTDR) Update - Sept 22

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Matador Resources Company Announces Initial Boros Well Results in the Stateline Asset Area
September 22, 2020

Matador Resources Company (NYSE: MTDR) ("Matador" or the "Company") today announced the results from the first four Boros wells completed and turned to sales in its Stateline asset area in Eddy County, New Mexico.

Initial Boros Well Results in the Stateline Asset Area

Matador is pleased today to announce the results from the first four Boros wells completed and turned to sales in the Company’s Stateline asset area in southeastern Eddy County, New Mexico, all of which are two-mile laterals. Matador acquired the 2,800 gross and net acres comprising its Stateline asset area in the September 2018 Bureau of Land Management lease sale, and these are the first four of 13 Boros wells the Company has drilled and completed on the eastern portion of this leasehold. Matador remains on track to turn all of the remaining Boros wells to sales over the next two weeks as originally planned and previously announced.

Individual well results:
> Boros #201H: 3,143 Boepd with 60% oil from the Wolfcamp A-WY zone
> Boros #215H: 4,584 Boepd with 60% oil from the Wolfcamp A-Lower zone
> Boros #216H: 3,569 Boepd with 59% oil from the Wolfcamp A-Lower zone
> Boros #217H: 3,128 Boepd with 50% oil from the Wolfcamp A-Lower zone

Matador is very pleased with these strong IP test results from the first four Boros wells. The IP test results from the Boros #215H, #216H and #217H wells are three of the top four IP test results that Matador has achieved to date for wells completed and turned to sales in the Wolfcamp A-Lower formation throughout the Delaware Basin. In fact, the Boros #215H test result is the best IP test result that Matador has achieved for the Wolfcamp A-Lower formation and is among the very highest IP test results that Matador has achieved for any formation in the Delaware Basin. The Boros #201H test result is also among the top five IP test results that Matador has achieved for wells completed and turned to sales in the Wolfcamp A-XY formation. Matador has a 100% working interest and an 87.5% net revenue interest in these Stateline asset area wells.

In addition, these 24-hour IP test results were recorded at very high flowing casing pressures of approximately 3,100 pounds per square inch ("psi") for the Boros #201H well and between 3,500 and 3,800 psi for each of the Wolfcamp A-Lower completions, further indicating the strong productivity of these wells. As noted above, Matador expects to have all of the remaining Boros wells on-line over the next two weeks, and in fact, several additional wells have already been placed on production and are currently cleaning up and beginning to produce oil and natural gas. Matador currently estimates that it has at least 75 additional wells to drill in the Stateline asset area, including the 13 Voni wells currently being drilled on the western portion of this leasehold.

All four Boros wells highlighted in this release are currently producing at restricted flow rates through the Company’s newly constructed production facilities in the Stateline asset area, and all oil, natural gas and water from these wells is being gathered via pipeline. With the addition of these wells to the gathering systems owned by San Mateo, Matador’s 51% owned midstream affiliate, Matador currently has approximately 75% of its gross operated oil production and approximately 98% of its gross operated water production gathered via pipeline in the Delaware Basin. The Company’s gross operated oil production gathered via pipeline in the Delaware Basin has increased to approximately 75% today from 55% in 2019 and 16% in 2018. Similarly, Matador’s gross operated water production gathered via pipeline in the Delaware Basin has increased to approximately 98% today from 78% in 2019 and 71% in 2018.

Matador is also very pleased to report that the costs to drill and complete all 13 Boros wells in the Stateline asset area averaged just under $800 per completed lateral foot, saving more than 20% in costs as compared to Matador’s original estimates. The drilling and completion costs for the three shallowest wells, one Avalon completion and two Second Bone Spring completions, averaged approximately $725 per completed lateral foot. These costs are among the lowest drilling and completion costs per lateral foot that Matador has achieved to date in the Delaware Basin. The economic returns from all these wells should be significantly enhanced by the lower well costs. Furthermore, these results, along with numerous others that Matador has achieved in 2020, including from the Rodney Robinson and Ray State wells, continue to demonstrate the improved capital efficiency the Company has achieved through its successful transition from drilling and completing one-mile laterals to drilling and completing two-mile or longer laterals in the Delaware Basin.

Management Comments

Joseph Wm. Foran, Matador’s Chairman and CEO, commented, "We are very excited and gratified by the strong results from our first four Boros wells in the Stateline asset area, including our record Wolfcamp A-Lower IP test results on the Boros #215H, #216H and #217H wells. We look forward to putting the remaining Boros wells drilled and completed throughout 2020 on production and reporting those results to the markets in the upcoming weeks. We are, of course, particularly pleased by the drilling and completion costs achieved on these wells at under $800 per completed lateral foot, which were well below our expectations when we began drilling these wells. With the 13 Boros wells turned to sales, we are expecting a significant increase in our oil and natural gas production during the fourth quarter of 2020 and are also on track to be free cash flow positive in the fourth quarter, a major milestone.

"The Board and I wish to thank and compliment all of the members of our Stateline asset team, as well as our production teams in the field, for all their planning, innovation and hard work over the past two years to achieve first production from the Stateline asset area. This has truly been a team effort, and we are very proud of our geologic, reservoir, land, operations and midstream staff for the significant value each of these groups has individually created in the Stateline asset area through their technical expertise and strong execution. These wells are expected to add significantly to the overall value of Matador’s reserves and to the value of Matador’s midstream affiliate, San Mateo, going forward."

About Matador Resources Company

Matador is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. Its current operations are focused primarily on the oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. Matador also operates in the Eagle Ford shale play in South Texas and the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. Additionally, Matador conducts midstream operations, primarily through its midstream joint venture, San Mateo, in support of its exploration, development and production operations and provides natural gas processing, oil transportation services, natural gas, oil and salt water gathering services and salt water disposal services to third parties.

For more information, visit Matador Resources Company at www.matadorresources.com.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 34465
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Matador Resources (MTDR) Update - Sept 22

Post by dan_s »

My valuation of MTDR is $13.50 based on just 3X operating cash flow per share. The low multiple is justified because they have continued to outspend operating cash flow to reach their production and proven reserve goal. Normally that is a good business plan, but the Wall Street Gang is more interested in free cash flow than growth these days.

Once I am convinced that the Company is committed to generating free cash flow, I will raise my valuation to 4X operating CFPS. My 2021 forecast (based on $50/bbl WTI) shows Matador generating $614 million of operating cash flow ($5.25/share), which compares to First Call's operating CFPS estimate of $4.25. When WTI gets back over $50/bbl, Matador should be able to fund 10% to 15% production growth entirely with operating cash flow.

I am forecasting that Matador's production will be down ~4,300 Boepd from Q2 to Q3, but when all of the Boros wells are online they should ramp up production into year-end. The Company's exit rate should be 75,000 to 80,000 Boepd, ~58% crude oil.

Stifel's price target was $16.00 per share on September 18, 2020.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 34465
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Matador Resources (MTDR) Update - Sept 22

Post by dan_s »

From Truist Equity Research

Matador Resources Company (MTDR, $8.54, Buy) - Upgrading to Buy and raising price target $3 to $15:
Time to Prosper from Long Leg Work - Matador is one of very few E&Ps that we forecast will not only have solid continued annual FCF starting next year, but will achieve this while continuing to notably grow production. The company has spent several quarters not only boosting and delineating its peer leading asset base, but equally as impressively boosting its associated midstream company growth. Operations remain active with some of the company's first 13 Boros wells online and several recent wells such as its five Leatherneck wells materially boosting 4Q20 production carrying into a strong 2021. - Neal Dingmann
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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