Lone

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mkarpoff
Posts: 809
Joined: Fri May 30, 2014 4:27 pm

Lone

Post by mkarpoff »

Just a reminder: You said after earning season you would take a look at the new Lonestar. Thx again.
dan_s
Posts: 34471
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Lone

Post by dan_s »

Sorry. I ran out of time. A good friend of mine said he talked to Frank Bracken a few days ago and he was told that their new wells are coming on strong, ahead of the type curves.

Here is a good update on where LONE stands today: https://s3.amazonaws.com/b2icontent.irp ... 183689.pdf
Net Asset value is much higher than where the stock is trading today.
The negative is that LONE has hedged a lot of oil in the mid-$40s/bbl. If oil stays in the $60s, the long-term outlook looks good.

April 6 press release
Lonestar Announces Year-End 2020 Reserves

FORT WORTH, Texas - Lonestar Resources US Inc. (OTCQX: LONE) (together with its subsidiaries, "Lonestar," "our" or the "Company") announced its year-end 2020 reserves. All of the Company's reserves are located in the Eagle Ford Shale.

Lonestar's proved reserves as of December 31, 2020 were 70.1 million barrels of oil equivalent ("MMBOE"), which is comprised of 39.1 million barrels of crude oil and condensate, 19.5 million barrels of natural gas liquids ("NGLs"), and 124.1 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural gas. By energy content, using a standard 6:1 conversion ratio, Lonestar's proved reserves are weighted 74% to crude oil, condensate and NGLs. Using the guidelines of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") for pricing, the PV-10 for Lonestar's proved reserves was $366.0 million. Please see Table 1 for details.

Go here to see table: https://lonestarresources.com/

The tables below summarize Lonestar's year-end reserves and PV-10 by category as determined by the Company's independent petroleum engineers, W.D. Von Gonten & Co. Petroleum Engineers. Based on SEC guidelines, for the year ended December 31, 2020, Lonestar's reserves were estimated using the 12-month average price calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the spot price on the first day of each month preceding the 12 months prior to the end of the reporting period. This methodology resulted in an average NYMEX West Texas Intermediate oil price of $39.57 per barrel and an average NYMEX Henry Hub natural gas price of $1.99 per million British Thermal Units ("MMBTU"). These prices equate to a decrease of 29% for crude oil and a decrease of 23% for natural gas from Lonestar's proved reserves for the year ended December 31, 2019, as compared to an average of oil price of $55.69 per barrel and an average natural gas price of $2.58 per MMBTU used to estimate our 2019 proved reserves.

Based on SEC guidelines, Lonestar's proved & probable reserves as of December 31, 2020 totaled 86.9 MMBOE, comprised of 45.1 million barrels of crude oil and condensate, 20.2 million barrels of natural gas liquids, and 128.9 billion cubic feet of natural gas. Using SEC guidelines, PV-10 for proved & probable reserves was $377.0 million. Lonestar's proved & probable reserves included 240 drilling locations which were assigned reserves by the Company's independent petroleum engineers.

Because the pricing utilized in the SEC methodology is lower than current benchmark market prices for crude oil and natural gas, Lonestar has also calculated the PV-10 of its reserves at a flat pricing deck of $55.00 for the WTI crude oil benchmark and $2.75 for Henry Hub natural gas price benchmark ("$55 Flat Deck"). On this basis, the Company's proved reserves were 82.7 MMBOE and PV-10 was $723.8 million. Based on this price deck, Lonestar's proved & probable reserves were 113.5 MMBOE, which is comprised of 61.8 million barrels of crude oil and condensate, 25.4 million barrels of NGLs, and 158 billion cubic feet of natural gas. On the $55 Flat Deck, PV-10 for proved & probable reserves was $817.0 million. Please see Table 2 for details.

Lonestar's Chief Executive Officer, Frank D. Bracken, III, commented, "the PV-10 of Lonestar's proved reserves at a $55 Flat Deck is $723.8 million, which I believe implies a substantial asset value to the Company. I think equally important is that the PV-10 of our Proved Developed Producing reserves alone based on the $55 Flat Deck is $358.0 million, which is substantially higher than our long-term debt at March 31, 2021, which stands at $260.0 million."
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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