Natural Gas Prices - Art Berman's forecast

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dan_s
Posts: 34828
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Natural Gas Prices - Art Berman's forecast

Post by dan_s »

"Natural gas prices averaged a little more than $2.50 per mmBtu (million British Thermal Units) in 2016. Those days are over. Prices will average at least $3.50 to $4.00 in 2017. Prices have more than doubled since March 2016 but gas is still under-valued. Supply is tight because demand and exports have grown and shale gas production has declined." - Art Berman

Read: http://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/ ... story.html

The KEY POINT is that weather related demand is only part of the natural gas market. Power Generation and Industrial demand are now much larger than residential heating demand.
> U.S. gas production is down and only a massive increase in gas directed drilling will reverse the decline. This won't happen at today's gas price.
> Imports from Canada are on decline
> Exports are increasing
> Industrial demand is increasing
> Gas needed to refill storage before the next winter will be at least 2 Bcf per day higher during April to November then it was a year ago.

If Art Berman is right, those of you that own AR, RRC and GPOR will be happy in Q4.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
setliff
Posts: 1823
Joined: Tue Apr 27, 2010 12:15 pm

Re: Natural Gas Prices - Art Berman's forecast

Post by setliff »

i for one am getting tired of waiting on 4th q. if oilers start the move first i am out of gassers.
jim
bearcatbob

Re: Natural Gas Prices - Art Berman's forecast

Post by bearcatbob »

setliff wrote:i for one am getting tired of waiting on 4th q. if oilers start the move first i am out of gassers.
jim
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yop62wQH498

"Annie" (1982) - Tomorrow - YouTube
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