Search found 20 matches

by charlie1
Fri Aug 25, 2023 5:21 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: ESTE/PR is the new DVN/WPX
Replies: 0
Views: 221

ESTE/PR is the new DVN/WPX

The years ago DVN andWPX executed a merger of equals. The day before the deal was announced DVN closed at $8.82. Today the combined company is at $50.48. Rick Mongrief said it was an equity deal because companies were undervalued. While there is no guarantee that the new PR will perform like DVN,but...
by charlie1
Thu Aug 24, 2023 1:53 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Permian Resources (PR) to acquire Earthstone (ESTE) - Aug 21
Replies: 9
Views: 2649

Re: Permian Resources (PR) to acquire Earthstone (ESTE) - Aug 21

Approximately three years ago DVN and WPX entered into a merger of equals somewhat similar to ESTE and PR, but not a merger of equals. The key is that both deals are all stock deals. At the time DVN said both company’s stocks were so cheap that everybody wanted to retain the upside. The same rationa...
by charlie1
Wed Oct 05, 2022 12:36 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Good News for all of our "Gassers"
Replies: 6
Views: 1191

Re: Good News for all of our "Gassers"

Natural gas has pulled back considerably since the fire at the Freeport Plant. Could the lack of the Freeport buy order for 2bcf/d for natural gas be the cause for this weakness. In addition Cove Point is down for three weeks. If 2 bcf/d comes out of the market and Freeport buys this excess, shouldn...
by charlie1
Sun Aug 14, 2022 12:37 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Magnolia Oil
Replies: 2
Views: 709

Magnolia Oil

Missing from the MGY report is an appraisal of management. Shortly after their SPAC conversion I bought the stock on the strength of the management team assembled by TPG. Steve Crazen and Christopher Stavros were President and CFO at OXY prior to joining MGY.At the time of the conversion the Karnes ...
by charlie1
Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:41 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Devon deal
Replies: 6
Views: 1323

Re: Devon deal

SBOW had very positive comments about the Eagleford play. EOG and SM seem to be be the leaders there for both oil and gas. there are many private companies which will be acquired. I think SBOW is the smallest of the public companies. Probably worth comparing the metrics on the Sundance merger with t...
by charlie1
Mon Aug 08, 2022 6:39 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Enercom Denver in this week
Replies: 3
Views: 814

Re: Enercom Denver in this week

Liberty Energy (LBRT)made a very interesting presentation. This is one of the top freacing (#3) companies. The CEO is very outspoken about all the global warming wokers. He has written a book about our energy problems and can be ordered from Liberty's website.
by charlie1
Thu Jul 28, 2022 2:02 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: EQT Corp (EQT) Q2 Results - July 27
Replies: 4
Views: 1041

Re: EQT Corp (EQT) Q2 Results - July 27

The Rice brothers have a fabulous record in the energy patch. Their father is Dan Rice. He has been managing energy investment for 40 or 50 years with Loomis Sayles, State Street and now run a Boston hedge fund. A great and effective team.
by charlie1
Sun May 15, 2022 12:50 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Sweet 16 Update - May 14
Replies: 4
Views: 1138

Re: Sweet 16 Update - May 14

The five NG companies in the Sweet 16 are up 67.98 % as of Friday. The three gassers in the Elite eight are up 72.1% ( AR, EQT, CTRA}.
The Elite Eight are up 47.3%. Not a bad year and energy is still only 4% of the S&P 500.
by charlie1
Wed Apr 27, 2022 1:21 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Range Resources (RRC) Price Targets - April 27
Replies: 3
Views: 719

Re: Range Resources (RRC) Price Targets - April 27

Dan,

I am curious about the historic relationship between RRC's market price and RRC's PV10. Today RRC indicated $60 is a reasonable PV10 number. Has RRC historically traded above or below PV!0 during the $3 environment? Should that $60 number be relevant in today's environment?
by charlie1
Sat Apr 23, 2022 12:18 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Aegis webinar on now
Replies: 3
Views: 724

Re: Aegis webinar on now

Jay Allison {CRK} spoke at EnercomDallas on April 6. It can be viewed on the Enercom website and is worth watching. About the same time the stock started to move and began trading 5 million shares per day.