Search found 28 matches
- Tue May 28, 2024 10:10 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Baytex - high risk, high reward?
- Replies: 4
- Views: 4237
Re: Baytex - high risk, high reward?
"• Baytex sells its heavy oil (27% of total) at a substantial discount (-$ 24/bbl) to WTI. " As the TMX pipeline just delivered it's first cargo to the coast the WSC heavy oil discount has closed up substantially. Now about a $11.10 differential. Going forward should be a big bump in a qua...
- Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:51 am
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: HFI like PR
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1564
Re: HFI like PR
Like comparisons like this. Thanks.
What's also interesting, their 6 month charts are almost identical.
Both up about 31%
What's also interesting, their 6 month charts are almost identical.
Both up about 31%
- Wed Jan 24, 2024 1:39 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Diamondback Energy (FANG) Update - Jan 24
- Replies: 2
- Views: 1420
Re: Diamondback Energy (FANG) Update - Jan 24
Raymond James was out today on APA and they had this to say in summation: RECOMMENDATION APA possesses one of the best 2024 FCF yields, substantial commodity exposure (unhedged on oil), and significant resource potential in Suriname. With at least ~60% of yearly FCF going to shareholders, APA also b...
- Thu Mar 02, 2023 2:07 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Ranger Oil (ROCC) being acquired by Baytex - Feb 28
- Replies: 17
- Views: 8878
Re: Ranger Oil (ROCC) being acquired by Baytex - Feb 28
Here is a video interview from today on BNN TV with a top Canadian oil fund manager. He likes BTE and the deal of them merging with ROCC. Those who currently own ROCC may want to hang on to BTE shares when the deal closes https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/video/very-meaningful-upside-ahead-for-the-energy-...
- Wed Mar 01, 2023 10:54 am
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Ranger Oil (ROCC) being acquired by Baytex - Feb 28
- Replies: 17
- Views: 8878
Re: Ranger Oil (ROCC) being acquired by Baytex - Feb 28
I currently have a position in BTE and they are a good operator who has a lot of free cash flow and are paying down debt quickly. Their Canadian clearwater assets are some of the most profitable wells in NA. Combining ROCC with the current BTE Eagleford assets will lead to improved synergies. Here i...
- Thu Jan 12, 2023 7:47 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Sweet 16 Price Targets - Jan 10
- Replies: 2
- Views: 1676
Re: Sweet 16 Price Targets - Jan 10
TOP WELL REPORT – November volumes – Ovintiv has a clean sweep of all of the top 15 natural gas wells January 9, 20231:34 PM The November data is out for the overall best oil and gas wells in Canada. As always, we use calendar day production metrics so these are real volumes produced in the month. F...
- Fri Nov 18, 2022 3:30 pm
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: Freeport LNG
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1228
Re: Freeport LNG
Freeport LNG targets mid-December restart for Texas export plant Nov 18 (Reuters) - U.S. liquefied natural gas company Freeport LNG said it was targeting a mid-December restart for its Texas export plant, which has been shut for six months after a fire. Freeport, the second-biggest U.S. LNG export f...
- Thu Nov 03, 2022 4:00 pm
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: The 'Real Cost" of renewable energy
- Replies: 3
- Views: 1650
Re: The 'Real Cost" of renewable energy
Actually, Wendy is even a worse deal. She lives 30 miles away and has no "transmission" in her car. You say, "why not fix it." She says she has no money to fix it. "Loan me some" You say , "OK, How much" Wendy, "$6 billion" You say, "What" ...
- Tue Apr 23, 2019 12:08 pm
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: More buyouts coming.
- Replies: 0
- Views: 1308
More buyouts coming.
Analyst: Chevron-Anadarko deal is beginning of upstream wheeling and dealing By Mella McEwen, MRT.com/Midland Reporter-Telegram Published 3:39 pm CDT, Sunday, April 21, 2019 Analysts who study the oil and gas industry had been in suspense for months. They watched as crude prices sank 40 percent in t...
- Tue Apr 16, 2019 12:38 pm
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: Forbes - Next Permian Basin Acquisition Target?
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1804
Forbes - Next Permian Basin Acquisition Target?
Robert Rapier - Contributor Energy Following the news that Chevron had agreed to pay a nearly 40% premium to acquire Anadarko Petroleum, investors quickly bid up the shares of other potential acquisition targets. As I argued in the previous article, I believe the Permian was the key to the Anadarko ...
- Sat Apr 13, 2019 12:25 am
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: BIG DEAL: Chevron to acquire Anadarko
- Replies: 4
- Views: 2740
Re: BIG DEAL: Chevron to acquire Anadarko
Per CNBC: Occidental bid more than $70 a share for Anadarko and is now considering options: Sources Key Points Occidental Petroleum bid more than $70 a share for Anadarko Petroleum in cash and stock, people familiar with the matter say. The bid was higher in price and contained more cash than the Ch...
- Fri Apr 12, 2019 2:40 pm
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Denbury Resources (DNR) Update - April 11
- Replies: 2
- Views: 2419
Re: Denbury Resources (DNR) Update - April 11
Nice analyses. As a stockholder well remember that wrong headed DNR merger try for PVA was devastating for the stock price. Market well knew --DNR should have been paying off debt before they took on more assets way out of their core area of operations. Even now today, the stock price is way less th...
- Sun Mar 31, 2019 3:45 pm
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: Oil Price - March 29
- Replies: 2
- Views: 2104
Re: Oil Price - March 29
Saw this Art Berman.
Traders not near as long oil as most of 2018.
Looks like a lot of money may still flow in.
Art says,
Managed money funds have been cautious so far in 2019. Normalized net long positions for Brent + WTI are 50% lower than in 2018 and 8% lower than in 2017.
Traders not near as long oil as most of 2018.
Looks like a lot of money may still flow in.
Art says,
Managed money funds have been cautious so far in 2019. Normalized net long positions for Brent + WTI are 50% lower than in 2018 and 8% lower than in 2017.
- Mon Mar 25, 2019 2:11 pm
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: Demand for natural gas is going way up
- Replies: 3
- Views: 2924
Re: Demand for natural gas is going way up
Yep, LNG got a long way to run yet. Here are a couple for your high income portfolio. GMLP Golar LNG Partners LP owns and operates floating storage regasification units (FSRUs) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers under long-term charters in Brazil, Indonesia, Jordan, Kuwait, and the United Arab...
- Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:56 pm
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Denbury Resources (DNR) Update - March 21
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1787
Re: Denbury Resources (DNR) Update - March 21
As a DNR stockholder happy to see this deal ended. DNR price was crushed when deal was announced and has never come close since to it's oct high. Many saw the deal as a risky dilution. Adding eagleford assets complicated the company and made it hard to analyze so they have not participated in this 2...
- Mon Mar 18, 2019 6:47 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: SM and CRZO talk
- Replies: 3
- Views: 3194
Re: SM and CRZO talk
Agree. Think if it happens, will be stock for stock deal. If for instance, one shells out a bunch of cash for the other, think the market would crucify the acquirer thinking they would soon go to market for a secondary. Think the market wants increasing positive cash flow from companies NOW, and not...
- Mon Mar 18, 2019 12:37 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: SM and CRZO talk
- Replies: 3
- Views: 3194
SM and CRZO talk
(Bloomberg) -- Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc. is weighing a tie-up with U.S. energy explorer SM Energy Co., according to people familiar with the matter. Carrizo has held early-stage discussions with SM about a potential combination, the people said, asking not to not be identified because the informati...
- Sun Mar 17, 2019 12:54 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Sweet 16 Update - March 16
- Replies: 2
- Views: 2734
Re: Sweet 16 Update - March 16
Barron's had round table of oil analysts this weekend. Analyst David Heikkinen's Picks, liked the Permian specifically: "We see some of the best value in companies with Permian potential. Multiples of many companies in the Midland basin [a section of the Permian] have been compressed. We rate P...
- Thu Feb 28, 2019 3:36 pm
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Running harder to increase production......................
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1707
Running harder to increase production......................
Interesting study how difficult and expensive it is to keep production up in the Permian shale. To win this game one better have very good rock. ***************************************************************************************** Keeping Up with the Older Generation Proves Costly and Futile in ...
- Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:14 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: NFX acquisition by Encana
- Replies: 7
- Views: 5410
Re: NFX acquisition by Encana
As a NFX investor I'm furious that management grabbed this offer. NFX stock price was about $32 Jan 1 and traded between $27 to $30 for the last 7 months. So cash flow and production substantially improves the last 2 quarters and the company pulls the trigger to sell itself just after the biggest ma...
- Wed Sep 26, 2018 11:59 am
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: Dan...question for you
- Replies: 5
- Views: 3735
Re: Dan...question for you
Considering how inexpensive natural gas sells for on a BTU basis, amazing to me that Americans still use over 3 billion gallons of heating oil per year. Mostly in the northeast.
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/ind ... ng_oil_use
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/ind ... ng_oil_use
- Sun Sep 23, 2018 3:39 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Continental Resources (CLR)
- Replies: 2
- Views: 2616
Re: Continental Resources (CLR)
Interesting article on North Dakota oil production which just hit an all time high. What jumps out, is how much more efficient the rigs are compared to 6 years ago. One would think the development cost per barrel continues to fall , at least on the drilling side. ************************************...
- Tue Sep 11, 2018 5:22 pm
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: FANG and Carlyle Group, $620M
- Replies: 2
- Views: 2359
Re: FANG and Carlyle Group, $620M
This is also good news for VNOM.
- Tue Aug 21, 2018 1:29 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: FANG to buy Energen
- Replies: 14
- Views: 10367
Re: FANG to buy Energen
As pointed out previously VNOM will benefit from this deal. Looks like Mr Market agrees. Though oil is quite off it's highs of 3 weeks ago Vnom checked in with all time new high today.
https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=VNOM

https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=VNOM

- Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:45 am
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: FANG to buy Energen
- Replies: 14
- Views: 10367
Re: FANG to buy Energen
A big winner on this deal medium to long term will be VNOM. They are the oil trust set up by FANG and get periodic drop downs from FANG. Fang gets bigger and that increases VNOM potential drop downs by 50%. VNOM pays out most of their cash flow in the form of distributions, that is at a current rate...
- Sun Aug 12, 2018 8:19 pm
- Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
- Topic: Menacing charts.
- Replies: 1
- Views: 2113
Menacing charts.
Couple of charts here as part of an interesting article. First is the decline rates of the major shale fields in the U.S. Not a pretty site. It's a treadmill for a company to keep increasing production. Of course that's true for any oilco but in the shale it goes double --or triple. Second chart is ...
- Mon Aug 06, 2018 7:59 pm
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Not all Permian decline rates created equal.................
- Replies: 0
- Views: 1173
Not all Permian decline rates created equal.................
Production engineers should be more involved in well planning, says WM's @RobertClarke_WM: "It's not ideal to design a complex well with a great initial potential rate if the design makes it challenging to keep it online for the next 20 years" https://www.mrt.com/business/oil/article/Repor...
- Mon Aug 06, 2018 5:51 pm
- Forum: The View from Houston
- Topic: U.S. Oil Production Growth stalls
- Replies: 3
- Views: 2455
Re: U.S. Oil Production Growth stalls
Here is interesting series of charts on sagging oil production at a number of OCED countries.
And not even counting plunging Venezuela.

And not even counting plunging Venezuela.
