Search found 3068 matches

by Fraser921
Thu May 16, 2024 12:29 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: EIA Natural Gas Storage Report - May 16
Replies: 1
Views: 44

Re: EIA Natural Gas Storage Report - May 16

Crk need 3.50 to break even (fcf wise)
by Fraser921
Thu May 16, 2024 8:01 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW
Replies: 7
Views: 145

Re: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW

CRGY down 6 % pre market sbow up 9 % so the market. Pre market prices implies a $36 value and you wait 4 months. Acquirers get slammed issuing stock like monopoly money , see Vtle 62 to 48 hasn't recovered in last 6 months Mentioned on call poison pill remains in place so they placed hurdles for com...
by Fraser921
Thu May 16, 2024 7:17 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW
Replies: 7
Views: 145

Re: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW

Slide deck of deal

https://irpages2.eqs.com/download/companies/270166a/Presentations/Crescent%20Energy%20to%20Acquire%20SilverBow%20Resources_vFF.pdf

webcast at 830 am est

https://www.webcast-eqs.com/register/crescentenergy20240516/en
by Fraser921
Thu May 16, 2024 7:11 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW
Replies: 7
Views: 145

Re: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW

Option for cash max 400 m, so stock 1.7/2.1 ( Equity 80% cash 20 %)

sbow up 3 in pre market and crgy down 2 %

Arbs will sell CRGY

I wonder if action this will spill over to other names

Press Release

https://s23.q4cdn.com/985396181/files/doc_downloads/2024/05/SBOW-CRGY-Press-Release.pdf
by Fraser921
Thu May 16, 2024 6:49 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW
Replies: 7
Views: 145

Re: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW

Good points. My numbers assumed all cash. CRGY would fall with shares and it might not be much more than 34-35 No where near Dan's TP of $ 63 :| 1,173 was YE 12/31 debt is 1,096 at end of March, 2024. (79 less debt means 3 more for equity) Slide 25 says debt is about 1,096 https://s23.q4cdn.com/9853...
by Fraser921
Thu May 16, 2024 6:29 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW
Replies: 7
Views: 145

Re: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW

An ev of 2.1 b implies 39 takeout price
2.0 billion = $35

This year ebitda was about 200 m

Insiders get paid for options

39 not bad if that’s what the deal is for

CRGY would fall in short term.
by Fraser921
Wed May 15, 2024 2:58 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Journey Energy (JOY.CA and JRNGF) Update - May 15
Replies: 2
Views: 73

Re: Journey Energy (JOY.CA and JRNGF) Update - May 15

I like these guys. They are building a power plant and they will use their ng to power it
by Fraser921
Wed May 15, 2024 9:21 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Scorpio Tankers webinar
Replies: 0
Views: 29

Scorpio Tankers webinar

Scorpio Tankers webinar. STNG. Good opportunity to get up to speed Bugbee is the CEO that bought a ton of call options on his stock,. By my calculations , he is up 70 % on the trade When 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM. May 20 https://us06web.zoom.us/w/84923835578?tk=l86lTw-t_JJhZXehd07O9Z2aN2nX8lQcAGeYA-BcqV8....
by Fraser921
Wed May 15, 2024 9:05 am
Forum: Other topics of interest
Topic: Canadian OIL TMX
Replies: 0
Views: 69

Canadian OIL TMX

A good portion of Canadian OIL on the TMX will be exported to China. I was listening to DHT tankers earnings call and they mentioned that they expect a good portion to be exported to China due to China owning 25 % of the pipeline. So , Demented Biden, shuts down a mostly completed pipeline Keystone ...
by Fraser921
Tue May 14, 2024 6:35 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Baytex earning out
Replies: 0
Views: 54

Baytex earning out

https://www.baytexenergy.com/content/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-09-Baytex-Announces-First-Quarter-2024-Results.pdf Reported cash flows from operating activities of $384 million ($0.47 per basic share) in Q1/2024. • Increased adjusted funds flow(1) per share by 21% to $424 million ($0.52 per basic share...