Search found 31 matches

by Petroleum economist
Sun May 26, 2024 2:34 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Baytex - high risk, high reward?
Replies: 2
Views: 51

Baytex - high risk, high reward?

If you think that WTI can go to $ 90/bbl, then Baytex is a great investment. If you think that WTI can go to $ 70/bbl than stay away. Summary Baytex has lowish reserves and a mediocre RRR. The balance sheet is a reasonable condition but needs some strengthening. Profits can soar with higher oil pric...
by Petroleum economist
Thu May 23, 2024 5:22 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Why are gas companies up so much in 2024
Replies: 5
Views: 202

Re: Why are gas companies up so much in 2024

I believe that Henry Hub gas prices in the near future will go up. Stable gas prices If there was such a thing, stable long term Henry Hub gas prices would be around $ 3.50-4.50/MM Btu. However, I believe that stable gas prices do not exist. Gas prices will be either well above or well below the $ 3...
by Petroleum economist
Wed May 22, 2024 6:16 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Why are gas companies up so much in 2024
Replies: 5
Views: 202

Why are gas companies up so much in 2024

I noted that the shares of gas companies are amongst the best performing oil and gas stocks in 2024. I am no expert on the US gas market, but I decided to have a quick look at the “why” for this. 2024 performance of gas companies shares • Antero is topping the 2024 performance list with a whopping +...
by Petroleum economist
Tue May 21, 2024 12:41 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hemisphere - Q1 and 2024/2025 expectatations
Replies: 1
Views: 115

Hemisphere - Q1 and 2024/2025 expectatations

Hemisphere – a Canadian small cap - will present pre-market on the 29th of May as the last of the lot its Q1 results. Production results were announced in April 2024. I expect no surprises in the rest. Production • Q1 production (3,145 BoE/d) was -7.1% below Q4 2023 (3,386 K BoE/d), due to the impac...
by Petroleum economist
Thu May 16, 2024 11:22 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Analysis of a merged Crescent/Silverbow company
Replies: 2
Views: 299

Analysis of a merged Crescent/Silverbow company

Cresent Energy and Silverbow have announced an intended merger. The merger is to be closed in late Q3 2024. For ease of the comparison below, I have used the full 2024 data for each company. Reserves • Combined 2023 proven reserves after the merger will be 994 M BoE. • Cresent contributes 548.2 M Bo...
by Petroleum economist
Thu May 16, 2024 6:58 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW
Replies: 7
Views: 186

Re: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW

More news: HOUSTON, May 16, 2024--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Crescent Energy Company (NYSE: CRGY) ("Crescent" or the "Company") and SilverBow Resources, Inc. (NYSE: SBOW) ("SilverBow"), today announced that they have entered into a definitive agreement pursuant to which Crescent ...
by Petroleum economist
Thu May 16, 2024 6:43 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW
Replies: 7
Views: 186

Re: CRGY in advanced talks to buy SBOW

Thanks for sharing. If the offer of $ 2.1 B is inclusive the SBOW $ 1,173 B debt, then the offer equals (2,100-1,173)/25.445 = $ 36.40 per share. We will have to wait and see whether if the offer would be in cash, shares or a mixture. If the offer is cash then it seems reasonable. If the offer is in...
by Petroleum economist
Tue May 14, 2024 9:15 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Geopark Vaca Muerta acquisition analysis
Replies: 0
Views: 58

Geopark Vaca Muerta acquisition analysis

Geopark announced today the $ 190 M acquisition of a 45-50% working interest in four Blocks in the Vaca Muerta (Argentina) with production of 5.5-6.5 K BoE/d Acquisition details • The acquisition is assumed to close late Q3. The acquisition contains proven reserves of 25.0 M BoE plus an additional 2...
by Petroleum economist
Thu May 09, 2024 1:45 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Analysis of Vital Energy Q1 results
Replies: 4
Views: 175

Re: Analysis of Vital Energy Q1 results

I never bother too much with analysts' estimates. Those I quote in my posts originate from Yahoo. Zacks estimates may very well be different. I do not like analysts' estimates, as I have no clue on (1) what oil/NGL, gas price they are based, (2) what is included and what not and (3) how up to date t...
by Petroleum economist
Thu May 09, 2024 12:53 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Chord/Enerplus Q1 results and outlook
Replies: 1
Views: 87

Chord/Enerplus Q1 results and outlook

Chord and Enerplus reported rather different Q1 results. Chord production was in line with the outlook, Enerplus well below expectation. The balance sheets and the profitability of both are in good shape and shareholder returns are adequate. The merger of Chord/Enerplus should be completed in Late M...