Search found 28 matches

by llm_cfp
Tue Mar 09, 2021 7:39 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: BlueKnight Energy Partners (BKEP) Q4 Results - Mar 9
Replies: 4
Views: 1804

Re: BlueKnight Energy Partners (BKEP) Q4 Results - Mar 9

At 1.2 times coverage ratio and what seems like flat revenue guidance seems like there isn't room for a distribution increase? Does this decrease your valuation?
by llm_cfp
Mon Mar 08, 2021 1:32 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Crk
Replies: 1
Views: 1215

Crk

Dan
Late last year your estimate for crk was around $18, its currently much lower. What are the major factors that caused the price estimate drop? Whats their path back to $18?
by llm_cfp
Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:53 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Callon Petroleum (CPE) Update - Feb 10
Replies: 4
Views: 2128

Re: Callon Petroleum (CPE) Update - Feb 10

No they are advising to buy and hold and squeeze the price up like gme
by llm_cfp
Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:58 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Callon Petroleum (CPE) Update - Feb 10
Replies: 4
Views: 2128

Re: Callon Petroleum (CPE) Update - Feb 10

Cpe is on the reddit list to squeeze
by llm_cfp
Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:24 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Bkep
Replies: 0
Views: 862

Bkep

Invesco takes a 7% stake
by llm_cfp
Thu Jan 21, 2021 3:52 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: TGA
Replies: 4
Views: 2518

Re: TGA

Thx
by llm_cfp
Thu Jan 21, 2021 12:01 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: TGA
Replies: 4
Views: 2518

Re: TGA

Whenever you have some free time, maybe give us your opinion. As i understand it....The concession consolidation and reworking of terms increased net-backs by $7 at $40 Brent. But your opinion would be valuable.
by llm_cfp
Wed Jan 20, 2021 8:39 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: BKEP
Replies: 1
Views: 1726

BKEP

Dan, Recent 8-k for bkep has several amendments to their facility. Here is the amendment that strikes my curiosity: permit the Partnership to make additional equity distributions and other restricted payments in an aggregate amount of up to $20.0 million ($30.0 million in total including existing $1...
by llm_cfp
Wed Jan 20, 2021 8:33 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: TGA
Replies: 4
Views: 2518

TGA

Dan,
Our Old friend TGA has recently done a Concession Consolidation, closed today at $1.13, and had lots in insider buying in Dec 2020. What you do you of the stock?
by llm_cfp
Mon Aug 17, 2015 10:43 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Refinery shutdowns
Replies: 1
Views: 1157

Refinery shutdowns

Dan,
Been reading a lot about refineries shutting down creating a head wind for oil prices. When do you think this will happen and how long do they stay down? How do you see this playing out?
by llm_cfp
Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:09 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: light stream safe w/ wti below $80
Replies: 1
Views: 1148

light stream safe w/ wti below $80

Dan,
you mentioned lstmf can still generate free cash flow at$80...at what price would you start to question if they can sustain the dividend?
by llm_cfp
Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:01 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Lightstream repurchases shares
Replies: 4
Views: 1747

Re: Lightstream repurchases shares

Dan,
how do you think they would fund the buy-back? cash or loc? it would make sense to purchase/cancel shares that yield a percentage above the revolvers' interest rate(arbitrage) until revolving debt is semi close to total debt/ebita convenants...what do you think?
by llm_cfp
Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:56 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: opec meeting/cold weather
Replies: 1
Views: 1061

opec meeting/cold weather

Dan,
Do you think the next opec meeting they will cut production?
Does the weather data you review indicate positive catalyst for NG or Oil?
by llm_cfp
Wed Nov 05, 2014 8:24 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Light Stream Dividend LSTMF
Replies: 6
Views: 3110

Re: Light Stream Dividend LSTMF

so does the rising dollar act against the Canadian dollar act as a natural hedge helping Canadian companies?
by llm_cfp
Fri Oct 31, 2014 7:26 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Energy XXI (EXXI)
Replies: 5
Views: 2800

Re: Energy XXI (EXXI)

for anyone who caught this falling knife.....management is upgrading water handling facility to separate out more water at well-head thereby allowing more oil to be pushed in pipeline....the upgrade should be complete early next year....new completions are being chocked back.....
by llm_cfp
Fri Oct 31, 2014 7:19 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Light Stream Dividend LSTMF
Replies: 6
Views: 3110

Light Stream Dividend LSTMF

BIG FYI..... yield the dividend is converted from Canadian to American dollar so even though it shows .04, what we get is .035828 for a yield of like 16(still to bad); but its not the 20%......also there is no DRIP program...in light of this I am considering changing my yield strategy to lnco(12% pl...
by llm_cfp
Tue Oct 28, 2014 8:03 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: light stream vs lnco
Replies: 3
Views: 1895

light stream vs lnco

light stream is yielding 15.5 and lnco is yielding 12.2%. Dan ,any comments on how to decide which one to get? which one is likely to raise their dividend in the future? I think lnco coverage ratio is above one although I done know how hedged all the new production is. Are correct to assume oil has ...
by llm_cfp
Thu Oct 09, 2014 7:53 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Incredible carnage at EXXI
Replies: 4
Views: 2875

Re: Incredible carnage at EXXI

so much for that idea....this is just down right ugly...I know Warren Buffet said be greedy when others are fearful but wow...
by llm_cfp
Fri Sep 12, 2014 8:00 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: EXXI
Replies: 8
Views: 5110

Re: EXXI

for anyone interested..lack of infrastructure(they are building a new pipeline) will curtail major production exxi growth until 1q of next year...you may get a technical bounce
by llm_cfp
Tue Sep 09, 2014 6:06 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: EXXI
Replies: 8
Views: 5110

Re: EXXI

wow Dan you called this one right..stock getting SLAMMED right now....however discount to NAV becoming very interesting to me now....at $14 I may jump in...any thoughts? maybe they can do an luncheon
by llm_cfp
Thu Jul 24, 2014 12:29 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: tga
Replies: 1
Views: 1254

tga

tga has taken a beating lately.....however they are financially stable...would this be a good entry point for a long term hold?
by llm_cfp
Thu Jul 24, 2014 12:28 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: OEDV
Replies: 11
Views: 7526

Re: OEDV

the Mississippian well came in at a decent rate but the woodford well came in below devons rates.....any thoughts dan?
by llm_cfp
Sun Jul 13, 2014 6:07 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Devon Energy (DVN)
Replies: 3
Views: 1950

Re: Devon Energy (DVN)

what is the next catalyst for dvn shares?
by llm_cfp
Mon Jul 07, 2014 9:09 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: OEDV
Replies: 11
Views: 7526

Re: OEDV

look like osage recently drilled the 2 news wells in the section below their initial monster well a few years ago...the commented the net pay increases as the play goes south..looking at sundances results there IP's are all over the place......after reaching TD 30 days ago..there should have been so...
by llm_cfp
Mon Jun 30, 2014 3:43 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: LINE
Replies: 3
Views: 1588

Re: LINE

the release mentioned interim financing...didn't see details on interest rates...will that impact fcf? or should we not even worry about it since they plan on ultimately financing the deal with non-core assets.
by llm_cfp
Thu Jun 26, 2014 8:53 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: EXXI / EPL Merger
Replies: 2
Views: 1526

Re: EXXI / EPL Merger

Dan,
What are your thoughts on entering XXI now? I think this will be the first full quarter with combined production.
by llm_cfp
Sun Aug 07, 2011 6:03 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: TGA 2q
Replies: 12
Views: 9417

Re: TGA 2q

Very excited to hear production guidance for Q3 and Q4. The water flood of the lower Nukhul will increase production and reserves however its oil is only API degree of around 19 so its gets a brent Minus price model.West Bakr will add reserves and 1.1k production(around 20 degree API(Brent minus)).....