Search found 34744 matches

by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 3:21 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Black Stone Minerals (BSM) Valuation Update - May 14
Replies: 0
Views: 10

Black Stone Minerals (BSM) Valuation Update - May 14

I have updated my forecast/valuation model for BSM. I am lowering my valuation by $0.50 to $17.00. > The MLP's Q1 results actually beat my forecast, but they reduced their quarterly dividend from $0.475/unit to $0.375/unit. > They lowered 2024 production guidance. > Good news is that the balance she...
by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 2:12 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Oil & Gas Prices - May 14
Replies: 0
Views: 20

Oil & Gas Prices - May 14

Trading Economics: > WTI crude futures dropped below $78 per barrel on Tuesday, closing in on their lowest level in one month, as higher-than-expected US producer prices in April, led to concerns about prolonged higher interest rates by the Fed and potential impacts on oil demand. > Adding to woes, ...
by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 2:08 pm
Forum: Other topics of interest
Topic: Dan, Please shut off AC
Replies: 3
Views: 56

Re: Dan, Please shut off AC

In a state with a massive amount of clean burning natural gas, it is insane that we have invested so much money in unreliable windmills. All ERCOT needed to do was put a few more ngas fired power plants near the large cities. We are just in May and they are crying about electricity demand exceeding ...
by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 2:03 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Permian Resources (PR) is NOT SELLING more stock - May 14
Replies: 3
Views: 79

Re: Permian Resources (PR) is NOT SELLING more stock - May 14

No shares being sold by the Company, so no impact on the per share valuation.
by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 10:08 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: OPEC's Monthly Report - May 14
Replies: 0
Views: 42

OPEC's Monthly Report - May 14

In its closely-watched Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) out today, OPEC maintained its forecast from the April report, which sees global oil demand rising by 2.25 million barrels per day (bpd) this year and by another 1.85 million bpd next year. OPEC estimates that global oil demand rose by 2.4 mill...
by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 9:34 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Permian Resources (PR) is NOT SELLING more stock - May 14
Replies: 3
Views: 79

Permian Resources (PR) is NOT SELLING more stock - May 14

Yesterday PR announced that some large shareholders are selling over 51 million shares. PR is not selling any shares.

Public companies are required to announce significant sales like this.

My guess is that the shares being sold are the C-Shares that the VCs got in the merger with Earthstone.
by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 9:23 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure (SOI) Valuation Update - May 14Jan 30
Replies: 0
Views: 24

Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure (SOI) Valuation Update - May 14Jan 30

Solaris will be generating a lot of free cash flow this year. Capex spending is down 75% YOY to just $15 million. Based on my forecast, the Company should generate over $70 million of free cash flow this year. I expect them to step up their stock buybacks and raise their dividends, which are current...
by dan_s
Tue May 14, 2024 8:01 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Surge Energy (SGY-TSX) Valuation Update - May 13
Replies: 2
Views: 65

Re: Surge Energy (SGY-TSX) Valuation Update - May 13

Note from Stifel dated 5-9-2024 "Surge reported in-line Q1 results, and a strong 230 bbl/d IP rate from the first multi-lateral at Hope Valley since shooting 3D seismic and rejigging the mud system, which bodes well for future locations in the area. Another highlight was a 550 bbl/d IP30 rate F...
by dan_s
Mon May 13, 2024 6:38 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) Q1 Results - May 13
Replies: 1
Views: 45

Re: Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) Q1 Results - May 13

My updated forecast/valuation model has been posted to the EPG website. My valuation stays at $6.50US per share. < 4.5 X operating cash flow per share. The Company is free cash flow positive and it has lots of low-risk development drilling inventory in Oklahoma. Kolibri's production should be up abo...
by dan_s
Mon May 13, 2024 5:48 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) Q1 Results - May 13
Replies: 1
Views: 45

Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) Q1 Results - May 13

FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS Average production for the first quarter of 2024 was 3,305 BOEPD, an increase of 3% compared to first quarter of 2023 average production of 3,194 BOEPD. The production increase is due to the additional production from the wells that were drilled and completed in 2023 < Beat ...