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by dan_s
Thu Apr 25, 2024 10:58 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: EQT Corp. (EQT) Valuation Update - Apr 25
Replies: 0
Views: 29

EQT Corp. (EQT) Valuation Update - Apr 25

At the time of this post EQT was trading for $39.76. TipRanks: "In the last 3 months, 18 ranked analysts set 12-month price targets for EQT. The average price target among the analysts is $43.41. The 18 price targets range from $34 to $60 per share." As previously posted, EQT's Q1 results ...
by dan_s
Thu Apr 25, 2024 8:55 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: EQT Corp. (EQT) Q1 Results - Apr 25
Replies: 1
Views: 42

Re: EQT Corp. (EQT) Q1 Results - Apr 25

2024 Outlook The Company updated its expectation of 2024 total sales volume to 2,100 – 2,200 Bcfe, which assumes 1 Bcf/d of operated production curtailments through May and embeds future curtailment optionality dependent on market conditions. < Midpoint is 100 Bcfe below previous guidance . The Com...
by dan_s
Thu Apr 25, 2024 8:51 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: EQT Corp. (EQT) Q1 Results - Apr 25
Replies: 1
Views: 42

EQT Corp. (EQT) Q1 Results - Apr 25

First Quarter 2024 and Recent Highlights: > Adjusted Net Income of $365 million beat my forecast of $153 million. < due to much higher realized ngas prices than my forecast and lower LOE. Net differential was only -$0.17/mcf compared to my forecast of -$0.50/mcf. Increasing their realized gas price:...
by dan_s
Wed Apr 24, 2024 8:27 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Divergence - Nat gas vs. producers
Replies: 3
Views: 101

Re: Divergence - Nat gas vs. producers

We have lots of ngas fired power plants that will be running 24/7 when summer heat arrives, which starts next week. This is the same across the Southeast quarter of the country.
by dan_s
Wed Apr 24, 2024 3:40 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Antero Resources (AR) Valuation Update - Feb 2
Replies: 2
Views: 477

Re: Antero Resources (AR) Valuation Update - Feb 2

The BIG gassers will survive and rise again. The U.S. natural gas market is BIG and VERY IMPORTANT.
by dan_s
Wed Apr 24, 2024 3:37 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Divergence - Nat gas vs. producers
Replies: 3
Views: 101

Re: Divergence - Nat gas vs. producers

Another thing to keep in mind is that demand for U.S. natural gas, including exports is approximately 105 Bcf per day over the course of a year. The gas price is down today because the front month contract MAY24 expires this week. JUN24, which will be the front month contract next week, closed at $1...
by dan_s
Wed Apr 24, 2024 3:01 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: EIA - Weekly Petroleum Report - Apr 24
Replies: 2
Views: 89

Re: EIA - Weekly Petroleum Report - Apr 24

Interesting comments from HFI Research EIA oil storage report was fairly bullish today with the crude draw of 6.4 million bbls outpacing our forecast of -4.33 million bbls. More importantly in these weekly reports, we watch just how accurate we are at estimating US crude production. And so far, thin...
by dan_s
Wed Apr 24, 2024 3:00 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Watch List: SRR.V for high yield
Replies: 4
Views: 191

Re: Watch List: SRR.V for high yield

A Passive Foreign Investment Company (PFIC) is a corporation located abroad that meets one of two conditions based on either income or assets: Income Test: At least 75% of the corporation’s gross income is “passive,” which means it is derived from investments or other sources not related to regular ...
by dan_s
Wed Apr 24, 2024 11:37 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Matador Resources (MTDR) Valuation Update - Apr 24
Replies: 0
Views: 34

Matador Resources (MTDR) Valuation Update - Apr 24

I now expect Matador's 2024 production to meet (likely exceed) the top of the guidance range put out in February of 153,000 to 159,000 Boepd (91,000 to 95,000 BOPD). Matador's hedges are just basis swaps on some of their natural gas, so only minor impact on their realized commodity prices. They repo...
by dan_s
Wed Apr 24, 2024 10:40 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: EIA - Weekly Petroleum Report - Apr 24
Replies: 2
Views: 89

EIA - Weekly Petroleum Report - Apr 24

Summary of Weekly Petroleum Data for the week ending April 19, 2024 U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 15.9 million barrels per day during the week ending April 19, 2024, which was 42 thousand barrels per day less than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 88.5% of their operable ...