Search found 34711 matches

by dan_s
Fri May 10, 2024 9:08 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Baytex Energy (BTE) Q1 Results - May 9
Replies: 0
Views: 6

Baytex Energy (BTE) Q1 Results - May 9

Calgary, Alberta--(Newsfile Corp. - May 9, 2024) - Baytex Energy Corp. (TSX: BTE) (NYSE: BTE) ("Baytex") reports its operating and financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2024 (all amounts are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted). "In the first quarter we safely ...
by dan_s
Fri May 10, 2024 8:39 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Brent Oil Price moves over $84 - May 10
Replies: 0
Views: 15

Brent Oil Price moves over $84 - May 10

Reuters: Oil benchmark Brent above $84 on perky demand signals, MidEast conflict By Natalie Grover May 10, 2024 6:34 AM CDT LONDON, May 10 (Reuters) - Global benchmark Brent hovered above $84 a barrel on Friday after data this week signaled growing demand in the U.S. and China, the world's two large...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 6:29 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) Valuation Update - May 9
Replies: 0
Views: 35

Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) Valuation Update - May 9

If you like a simple business strategy, steady production growth year after year, rising dividends and aggressive stock buybacks then MGY is for you. Q1 results were solid and Q2 results should be much better. None of this company's production is hedged. My valuation of MGY increases by $1 to $32/sh...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 5:47 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Oil & Gas Prices - May 9
Replies: 0
Views: 39

Oil & Gas Prices - May 9

Trading Economics: WTI Oil "WTI crude futures rose above $79 per barrel on Thursday, extending gains from the previous session as official data showed a decline in US crude stockpiles, signaling tighter supply. EIA data showed that US crude inventories fell by 1.361 million barrels last week, ...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 2:26 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Vital Energy (VTLE) Valuation Update - May 9
Replies: 0
Views: 73

Vital Energy (VTLE) Valuation Update - May 9

At the time of this post VTLE was trading at $51.47. < Below book value and less than 2X 2024 operating cash flow per share. I have updated my forecast/valuation model for Vital Energy for their Q1 results and updated guidance, which looks too conservative to me since they beat their Q1 production g...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 2:02 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Analysis of Vital Energy Q1 results
Replies: 4
Views: 119

Re: Analysis of Vital Energy Q1 results

Josh Young at Bison Energy wrote an article about Vital on 2/26/2024 that concluded that VTLE had over 300% upside when compared to what Diamondback Energy has paid for Permian Basin acquisitions. I agree with Josh that Vital Energy is a screaming takeover target. It is a pure play on the Permian Ba...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 1:59 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Analysis of Vital Energy Q1 results
Replies: 4
Views: 119

Re: Analysis of Vital Energy Q1 results

Cliff; My opinion is that Vital doesn't get the coverage it deserves because it has such a small number of shares outstanding, just 36,661,000 at 3/31/2024. That's low for a company of this size, over 124,000 Boepd. Low share count = high volatility as small changes in a forecast model can have a bi...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 11:54 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Valuation Update - May 9
Replies: 1
Views: 54

Re: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Valuation Update - May 9

My forecast/valuation has been posted to the EPG website. Take a look at Riley's year-end 2023 3rd party reserve report in their 10-K. It shows a PV10 Net Asset Value of $55.04/share based only on the Company's proved reserves. This year's acquisitions and drilling program should push that valuation...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 11:43 am
Forum: Other topics of interest
Topic: wind power in 2023
Replies: 1
Views: 61

Re: wind power in 2023

Historians will look back on this insane spending on windmills as one of the dumbest things humans have ever done. Solar makes a bit more sense to me, but wind and solar at both too unreliable to be a significant percentage of any modern country's power grid. Natural gas fired power plants are clear...
by dan_s
Thu May 09, 2024 11:22 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Valuation Update - May 9
Replies: 1
Views: 54

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Valuation Update - May 9

At the time of this post REPX was trading at $27.17, which is just 2.44 X my 2024 operating cash flow per share forecast of $11.13. TipRanks' current CFPS forecasts are $11.81 for 2024 and $13.04 for 2025. There is nothing that I can see that justifies this stock trading at such a low multiple. < It...