Search found 685 matches

by wilmawatts
Wed Jan 08, 2020 9:29 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy (REI) Update - Jan 7
Replies: 3
Views: 2576

Re: Ring Energy (REI) Update - Jan 7

Slide 23: Just using PDP reserves, the NAV discounted at 10% is $4.33. < A profitable company that is a going concern with over a decade of low-risk high-return drilling inventory should NEVER trade be the NAV of its PDP reserves Buy the company and pay for it with PDP reserves Get everything else f...
by wilmawatts
Fri Aug 17, 2018 9:27 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Propetro - PUMP
Replies: 0
Views: 1452

Propetro - PUMP

Completions company focused on Permian, lots of growth baked in:

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/ur ... 4000470016

Would love to hear them give a luncheon presentation, I think they are headquartered in Houston
by wilmawatts
Wed Aug 08, 2018 8:19 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Earthstone Energy (ESTE) Q2 Results
Replies: 4
Views: 3303

Re: Earthstone Energy (ESTE) Q2 Results

Frank and Bob have made me a lot of money Dan, and I expect they will again with ESTE Asset is still there, in the ground, development pushed out a bit. If you put on the expected higher oil price deck for 2019 and 2020 this delay might even INCREASE the cash flow valuation all else equal, even with...
by wilmawatts
Mon May 28, 2018 6:10 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Earthstone Energy (ESTE) being added to Sweet-16
Replies: 1
Views: 1908

Re: Earthstone Energy (ESTE) being added to Sweet-16

Good company. Well position. Frank’s management team is the best
by wilmawatts
Sun May 20, 2018 8:32 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy (REI) - Update May 10
Replies: 6
Views: 3945

Re: Ring Energy (REI) - Update May 10

agreed, good management
by wilmawatts
Sun May 20, 2018 8:30 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Earthstone Energy (ESTE) Update - May 12
Replies: 1
Views: 1981

Re: Earthstone Energy (ESTE) Update - May 12

Management here is excellent
by wilmawatts
Wed Jan 10, 2018 11:09 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Natural Gas Price - Jan 9
Replies: 5
Views: 3212

Re: Natural Gas Price - Jan 9

I have followed Dan for years, and have drank the red coolaid. I have followed Robry for years, and have drank the blue coolaid. Now I am totally confused, both generally see the same elephant but now one is bullish on nat gas and the other bearish. So I sit on my hands: Robry.."...Enormous bea...
by wilmawatts
Wed Jan 10, 2018 11:06 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy - New Update Jan 10
Replies: 3
Views: 2385

Re: Ring Energy - New Update Jan 10

good company, good management
by wilmawatts
Mon Jan 08, 2018 11:34 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Dancy on natgas
Replies: 7
Views: 3576

Re: Dancy on natgas

Raymond James has gas at $2.75 for 2018, which is interesting, they are the most bullish firm historically on the energy sector. At least the last few years.

So $3.00 average is a rip roaring bull versus RJ. Wall Street will have to be convinced to get higher prices
by wilmawatts
Tue Jan 02, 2018 8:00 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy
Replies: 3
Views: 2909

Re: Ring Energy

Company says no legal issues they know of.
by wilmawatts
Tue Jan 02, 2018 7:59 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Newfield Exploration
Replies: 0
Views: 1870

Newfield Exploration

Newfield Exploration stock price target raised to $40 vs. $37 at SunTrust

MARKETWATCH 6:36 AM ET 1/2/2018
by wilmawatts
Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:52 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy
Replies: 3
Views: 2909

Ring Energy

Someone posted on another energy board that there is a class action lawsuit that has been filed.

I can't find it, but the board is usually pretty accurate.

Unless there are problems it looks attractive to me
by wilmawatts
Sun Dec 10, 2017 8:27 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: A Tale of Two Charts
Replies: 0
Views: 1866

A Tale of Two Charts

Oil prices are outrunning energy equity prices:

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/ur ... 9662676992

[energy equity chart and oil price chart over last one year period]

This divergence will resolve itself in the near future I have a feeling.
by wilmawatts
Sat Dec 09, 2017 8:08 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Earthstone Energy - This is good news
Replies: 3
Views: 2671

Re: Earthstone Energy - This is good news

I'm in.

Frank L. is a guy I would be on.
by wilmawatts
Mon Dec 04, 2017 6:58 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: MIT study suggests U.S. vastly overstates oil output forecas
Replies: 2
Views: 2285

Re: MIT study suggests U.S. vastly overstates oil output for

Mark Papa has been saying the same thing. And our good buddy Dan, but he did not go to MIT so does not get the press
by wilmawatts
Thu Nov 09, 2017 6:27 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy - Q3 Results
Replies: 1
Views: 2085

Re: Ring Energy - Q3 Results

Good company, good results
by wilmawatts
Mon Nov 06, 2017 1:05 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Newfield Exploration Q3 results top forecast
Replies: 3
Views: 3791

Re: Newfield Exploration Q3 results top forecast

I listened to the conference call

You are right, an impressive firm well positioned that is undervalued
by wilmawatts
Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:25 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy (REI)
Replies: 1
Views: 2156

Re: Ring Energy (REI)

good company

good management

John White is a sharp dude
by wilmawatts
Thu Jul 27, 2017 7:58 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy (REI)
Replies: 4
Views: 4408

Re: Ring Energy (REI)

These guys are the old Arena Resources management, they are sharp
by wilmawatts
Sun Jul 23, 2017 8:51 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Fracking Industry Digs Texas Sand -- Market Talk
Replies: 11
Views: 8984

Fracking Industry Digs Texas Sand -- Market Talk

Fracking Industry Digs Texas Sand -- Market Talk BY Dow Jones & Company, Inc. — 8:23 AM ET 07/20/2017 8:23 ET - Credit Suisse notes a bifurcation in the world of frac sand as the oil industry in Texas suddenly starts using locally-mined sand for fracking rather than hauling it expensively by tra...
by wilmawatts
Fri Jul 14, 2017 3:01 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Devon Energy announces record stack well reaching 6,000 BOE
Replies: 4
Views: 5404

Re: Devon Energy announces record stack well reaching 6,000

thanks. yeah I expected more of a reaction to a 6,000 boed well. that is off the charts, like hitting it out of the stadium with bases loaded
by wilmawatts
Thu Jul 13, 2017 8:41 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Devon Energy announces record stack well reaching 6,000 BOE
Replies: 4
Views: 5404

Devon Energy announces record stack well reaching 6,000 BOE

how come the stock and those in the stack nearby have not moved on this news? this is a massive well Devon Energy announces record stack well reaching 6,000 BOE per day BY Reuters — 7:00 AM ET 07/11/2017 July 11 (Reuters) - Devon Energy Corp ( DVN Loading... Loading... ) * Devon Energy ( DVN ) annou...
by wilmawatts
Thu Jul 13, 2017 8:31 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy(REI)
Replies: 2
Views: 2867

Ring Energy(REI)

7:55 AM EDT, 07/13/2017 (MT Newswires) -- Ring Energy(REI) said pre-market Thursday that Q2 net production was 338,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOEs), up 77% year-over-year. June average net daily production was 4,110 BOEs, up from net daily production of 2,296 BOEs in the same month last year. CE...
by wilmawatts
Wed Jun 14, 2017 8:40 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy (REI) Update Profile
Replies: 3
Views: 4031

Re: Ring Energy (REI) Update Profile

The San Andres formation is what the Permian Basin discovery well, the Santa Rita #1, hit on May 28, 1923 over in the Midland subbasin. They now drill for the Sprayberry/Wolfcamp in that subbasin, but on the shelf it makes sense the San Andres still has oil in place. And with todays technology the I...
by wilmawatts
Fri May 26, 2017 7:56 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Global Energy Roundup: Market Talk
Replies: 1
Views: 3070

Global Energy Roundup: Market Talk

Global Energy Roundup: Market Talk Dow Jones Institutional News May 26, 2017 Friday 12:32 AM GMT 1440 ET - OPEC's deal to extend its production cuts will have to prove successful right out of the blocks in reducing bloated inventories, or oil prices could fall sharply, says Dan Steffens, head of the...
by wilmawatts
Sun May 21, 2017 6:27 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Sweet 16 Update - May 20
Replies: 3
Views: 4454

Re: Sweet 16 Update - May 20

In cases like this, if Gulfport does report 15 horizontal SCOOP wells that produce at rates above their type curve, there are two possible outcomes.
1. The share price reflects the full value, or
2. A large-cap swoops in to take it over.
^^^

Same analysis for Newfield Exploration?
by wilmawatts
Wed May 17, 2017 7:55 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Natural Gas Prices
Replies: 1
Views: 1624

Natural Gas Prices

Natural gas supply and demand might be a lot tighter over the next year than analysts expect according to some. US natural gas supply has declined over the last few years with the lower drilling activity. While the U.S. has massive supplies that can be developed it might take a bit longer to get it ...
by wilmawatts
Wed May 17, 2017 6:07 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Fairmount Santrol(FMSA)
Replies: 0
Views: 1793

Fairmount Santrol(FMSA)

Sand companies continue to rock: Fairmount Santrol(FMSA) , a provider of sand-based proppant solutions, said Wednesday it expects volume for Q2 to improve quarter-on-quarter, citing positive tailwinds for the proppant market, as well as higher demand for coated proppants and increasing demand for co...
by wilmawatts
Mon May 15, 2017 7:19 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Lonestar Resources (LONE) Q1 Results
Replies: 3
Views: 2897

Re: Lonestar Resources (LONE) Q1 Results

These guys put on a great presentation in Dallas. We will see if they can walk the walk this morning.

Helps that oil is up on the OPEC agreement comments
by wilmawatts
Mon May 15, 2017 7:18 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: NFX Earnings Call
Replies: 2
Views: 3278

Re: NFX Earnings Call

I am long here. Pleased with the operational results but not the share price.

But hey, longer term the trend in production and the trend in share price should track each other.
by wilmawatts
Mon May 15, 2017 7:17 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: NFX Earnings Call
Replies: 2
Views: 3278

NFX Earnings Call

Newfield Exploration (NFX) had an earnings call last week, they are a direct play on the Oklahoma STACK and SCOOP. The following are takeaways from the call: 1. NFX exceeded production estimates by 6,000 BOE/D in the first quarter, always good to see. And increased their production forecast for the ...
by wilmawatts
Fri May 12, 2017 8:37 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: EPG Weekly Podcast Summary
Replies: 1
Views: 1505

EPG Weekly Podcast Summary

The Energy Prospectus Group noted that earnings reported by most of the companies they cover were ‘stunningly better’ than a year ago. Their latest energy sector podcast (issued today) is at the following link: https://youtu.be/HYiBk9Xajmc Points can be summarized as follows: For the energy sector “...
by wilmawatts
Fri May 12, 2017 8:30 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy - REI
Replies: 6
Views: 4384

Re: Ring Energy - REI

In the Ring Energy (REI) Q1 earnings call this week an analyst noted “the range you’ve given in the rate of return is obviously phenomenal” referring to the company’s San Andres play on the Central Basin Platform in West Texas. Management noted IRR’s of between 70% (worst wells) to over 500% (best w...
by wilmawatts
Fri May 12, 2017 8:14 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy - REI
Replies: 6
Views: 4384

Re: Ring Energy - REI

What is your target price Dan? Do you know Roth's target price?
by wilmawatts
Thu May 11, 2017 1:27 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy - REI
Replies: 6
Views: 4384

Re: Ring Energy - REI

If you read the REI call transcript be sure you are belted in. The potential will knock you to the floor in a hurry.

Wow
by wilmawatts
Wed May 03, 2017 7:52 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Hi-Crush Partners LP (HCLP)
Replies: 4
Views: 3198

Re: Hi-Crush Partners LP (HCLP)

In the Hi Crush sand proppant earnings call yesterday a few interesting points were made in the commentary and questions: 1. Logistics will be critical to get the sand from the mine to the wellhead in the volumes needed. An average well now in the Permian is using a unit train of sand, and the drill...
by wilmawatts
Tue Apr 25, 2017 7:40 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: SLCA Q1 Results
Replies: 1
Views: 1673

Re: SLCA Q1 Results

Blowout.

Bodes well for FSMA owners also. FMSA much more volatile than SLCA or HCLP, an attribute you want when you are playing in a hot sector.
by wilmawatts
Fri Apr 21, 2017 7:51 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Core Labs Conference Call - 4/20/17
Replies: 2
Views: 2165

Core Labs Conference Call - 4/20/17

Core Labs Conference Call - 4/20/17 Company (David Demshur CEO) sees four major trends in the industry: 1. Client interest in enhanced oil recovery from tight oil reservoirs. Core initial work indicates possible increased recoveries of 9% to 15% by utilizing gas absorption techniques, gas cycling, a...
by wilmawatts
Mon Apr 17, 2017 9:21 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Raymond James note Today
Replies: 0
Views: 1265

Raymond James note Today

RJ commentary, stick their forecasted prices in Dan's models and the fair price in many cases takes a good jump upward: . . . So far, oil prices have tracked well below our initial expectations and, like last year, have been very lumpy. Specifically, WTI averaged ~$52 in 1Q17 (versus our forecast of...
by wilmawatts
Mon Apr 17, 2017 8:33 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Ring Energy(REI)
Replies: 1
Views: 1506

Ring Energy(REI)

Paid around $500 an acre, not sure the burden which will impact the cash paid: Ring Energy(REI) said Monday that it has acquired approximately 33,000 undeveloped acres in Gaines County, Texas, for approximately $16.6 million. The company will fund the transaction using the remaining proceeds from it...
by wilmawatts
Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:23 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Lonestar Luncheon
Replies: 3
Views: 2303

Re: Lonestar Luncheon

Dow Jones Institutional News April 13, 2017 Thursday 2:41 AM GMT 16:30 ET - Dan Steffens at Energy Prospectus Group says a convergence of several factors may be setting the stage for oil prices to pierce key resistance at $55/bbl, unleashing a new, higher range for prices. At a luncheon today in Dal...
by wilmawatts
Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:23 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Global Energy Roundup: Market Talk
Replies: 1
Views: 2510

Global Energy Roundup: Market Talk

Dow Jones Institutional News April 13, 2017 Thursday 2:41 AM GMT 16:30 ET - Dan Steffens at Energy Prospectus Group says a convergence of several factors may be setting the stage for oil prices to pierce key resistance at $55/bbl, unleashing a new, higher range for prices. At a luncheon today in Dal...
by wilmawatts
Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:10 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Callon Petroleum
Replies: 0
Views: 1219

Callon Petroleum

Callon Petroleum started at buy with $21 stock price target at Stifel Nicolaus
by wilmawatts
Thu Apr 13, 2017 7:48 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Lonestar Luncheon
Replies: 3
Views: 2303

Re: Lonestar Luncheon

Lonestar Production made a very interesting presentation yesterday to the Energy Prospectus Group in Dallas - lots of good technical details with regard to how the firm is making their Eagle Ford wells some of the top producing and returning wells. Longer laterals, more sand, thru bit logging, fewer...
by wilmawatts
Thu Apr 13, 2017 7:14 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Lonestar Luncheon
Replies: 3
Views: 2303

Lonestar Luncheon

Very interesting presentation yesterday.

Impressed at the degree of technology the company uses, and how the performance of their wells exceeds many of the competitors.