Search found 48 matches
- Tue Aug 16, 2022 6:34 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: US Energy Corp (USEG) -- Still Selling @ Discount to PV10...
- Replies: 7
- Views: 4808
Re: US Energy Corp (USEG) -- Still Selling @ Discount to PV1
Great to hear of your interest Dan. USEG announced last week that the PV10 value of their PDP reserves @ 6/30, proforma for their acquisition that closed a month later, was $167M using SEC pricing, which was $86 for oil and $5 for gas on that date. The EV of the company, taking into account the debt...
- Wed Jun 15, 2022 5:49 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Sitio Royalties Corp. (STR) Update - June 13
- Replies: 5
- Views: 990
Re: Sitio Royalties Corp. (STR) Update - June 13
Dan, I agree that STR now has about 83.5M shares out or maybe 1-2M shares less. On the proforma balance sheets that were included in the proxy statement for the Desert Peak transaction, they show (pg. 77) 11.9M Class A shares and 71.8M shares. At Note G of those statements (see pg. 82), they indicat...
- Tue Jun 07, 2022 6:28 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: New trading symbol for Falcon Minerals?
- Replies: 4
- Views: 879
Re: New trading symbol for Falcon Minerals?
I added to what was already a pretty large position in this on yesterday's pullback. I believe that was just a knee-jerk reaction to the reverse split. I believe that it is likely that they will provide initial guidance on the merged company in conjunction with the announcement of the completion of ...
- Mon Jun 06, 2022 7:17 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Falcon Minerals (FLMN) Valuation Update - May 20
- Replies: 3
- Views: 712
Re: Falcon Minerals (FLMN) Valuation Update - May 20
Dan, as I understand the merger transaction, the 235M shares that are being issued will be added to, vs. in place of, the shares that FLMN currently as out.
Also, on your projection, I am expecting the merged company to generate a lot higher lease bonus fees than what you are projecting.
Also, on your projection, I am expecting the merged company to generate a lot higher lease bonus fees than what you are projecting.
- Mon Jun 06, 2022 7:12 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: US Energy Corp (USEG) -- Still Selling @ Discount to PV10...
- Replies: 7
- Views: 4808
US Energy Corp (USEG) -- Still Selling @ Discount to PV10...
....despite recent gains in share price. This nanocap has seen its stock price appreciate recently, on high volume, yet it still sells at a 12% discount to the PV10 value of just its proved developed reserves as of last quarter end, at SEC pricing ($75 oil price held constant). The PV10 value at cur...
- Tue Apr 26, 2022 8:33 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: New Fortress Energy (NFE) -- LNG Entrepreneurs Making Hay...
- Replies: 3
- Views: 710
Re: New Fortress Energy (NFE) -- LNG Entrepreneurs Making Ha
NFE Application for Fast LNG Solution in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Advances April 26, 2022 at 6:00 AM EDT NEW YORK – New Fortress Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NFE) (together with its affiliates, “NFE”) today announced that the U.S. Coast Guard, in coordination with the Maritime Administration, has affirmed th...
- Sun Apr 24, 2022 6:19 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: New Fortress Energy (NFE) -- LNG Entrepreneurs Making Hay...
- Replies: 3
- Views: 710
New Fortress Energy (NFE) -- LNG Entrepreneurs Making Hay...
...while the sun shines. I've bought quite a bit of this stock, mostly over the last week. The stock has gone idiotic ever since they made that blockbuster announcement on 3/31, in which they said they had filed to build an offshore LNG liquefaction facility 16 miles off the coast of Louisiana, and ...
- Sun Jan 23, 2022 8:12 pm
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Falcon Merger - Jan 13
- Replies: 5
- Views: 1325
Re: Falcon Merger - Jan 13
A few thoughts on your forecast Dan: 1) I believe your projection of G&A costs is going to be way too high. The merger presentation at slide 8 indicates that they think they can get G&A down to $3M a quarter, combined. That seems that it could be challenging yet still feasible since it doesn...
- Sun Jan 16, 2022 8:12 am
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Falcon Merger - Jan 13
- Replies: 5
- Views: 1325
Re: Falcon Merger - Jan 13
The most intriguing comp for post-merger FLMN is Viper (VNOM). FLMN post-merger is guiding to 14K boed production which is just under half of the 28.9K boed that Viper is guiding to. Yet the EV of FLMN post-merger ($1.76B) is not even a third of VNOM's ($5.54B). There should be some sort of discount...
- Wed Dec 15, 2021 8:37 pm
- Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
- Topic: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Dec 15
- Replies: 5
- Views: 1182
Re: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Dec 15
Thanks so much for taking the time to type out your notes Dan, extremely helpful. When he said that they think that a successful CO2 flood could double production & reserves, is that a doubling of production & reserves of just the 5 producers in the pilot, or a doubling of production & r...