Search found 3012 matches

by Fraser921
Mon Apr 22, 2024 8:21 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Eric Nuttall will highlight some of Dan's names
Replies: 4
Views: 128

Eric Nuttall will highlight some of Dan's names

https://twitter.com/PetroGirl1/status/1782342599652552749
by Fraser921
Sun Apr 21, 2024 8:20 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: On my watch list
Replies: 1
Views: 123

On my watch list

Want to play the narrowing of differentials for Canadian WCS oil? I submit for your review and approval... Meg Energy. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4684704-meg-energy-impacts-new-royalty-regime-trans-mountain-expansion-payouts TMX is expected to come online May 1st. I own ROK, SU, Surge Energy a...
by Fraser921
Sun Apr 21, 2024 7:35 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Vital Energy and its solvency
Replies: 9
Views: 387

Re: Vital Energy and its solvency

Vital last qtr earnings and guidance https://investor.vitalenergy.com/news-releases/news-release-details/vital-energy-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2023-financial Presentation https://investor.vitalenergy.com/static-files/0a7614e2-e566-4cc2-9767-b64240c9b3c2 Transcript https://seekingalpha.co...
by Fraser921
Sat Apr 20, 2024 9:45 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Vital Energy and its solvency
Replies: 9
Views: 387

Re: Vital Energy and its solvency

Another man's opinion... 338 m FCF https://seekingalpha.com/article/4680571-vital-energy-extends-its-debt-maturities-and-continues-to-deleverage Interestingly, His FCF is double Dan's model but his valuation is less at $65 vs Dan's TP of $ 102. This could be a timing difference vs now and future TP ...
by Fraser921
Sat Apr 20, 2024 9:34 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Vital Energy and its solvency
Replies: 9
Views: 387

Re: Vital Energy and its solvency

One thing regarding Dan's models, his "operating cash flow" is not to be confused with FCF main dif is it's before cap ex. FCF = free cash flow is all cash flow, so operating cash flow less cap ex He has Vital operating cash flow roughly 950. He has cap ex (750 to 850). (950-800) = 150 m f...
by Fraser921
Sat Apr 20, 2024 5:46 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: This weeks earnings
Replies: 0
Views: 70

This weeks earnings

https://thetranscript.substack.com/notes
by Fraser921
Thu Apr 18, 2024 9:20 pm
Forum: Other topics of interest
Topic: Israeli attack underway- nuke plants?
Replies: 0
Views: 60

Israeli attack underway- nuke plants?

https://twitter.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1781123916825567461 https://twitter.com/mrbarnicoat/status/1781130771836592347 Now saying limited strike.. They gave a head fake yesterday saying they would wait until next week. Crude is up 3.00 after hours. Now 3.25 at 10:32 est up 3.50 @ 1036 est Even NG ...
by Fraser921
Thu Apr 18, 2024 2:21 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: SilverBow Resources (SBOW) Update - April 9
Replies: 5
Views: 503

Re: SilverBow Resources (SBOW) Update - April 9

Actually, the buyer backed away and the stock then weakened
by Fraser921
Tue Apr 16, 2024 3:45 pm
Forum: Other topics of interest
Topic: Biden team denies giving Iran money
Replies: 0
Views: 64

Biden team denies giving Iran money

That’s news to me Doocy: “Now that we know that the Iranians do not listen to President Biden’s public warnings, Is there any regret here about unfreezing billions of dollars for Iranian leaders during the President’s administration?” WH’s John Kirby: “What unfreezing are you talking about?” Doocy: ...
by Fraser921
Tue Apr 16, 2024 3:27 pm
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: APA Corp (APA) Valuation Update - April 9
Replies: 4
Views: 390

Re: APA Corp (APA) Valuation Update - April 9

They just got a shout out on CNBC Oakmark funds value investor