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by dan_s
Sat Apr 13, 2024 11:08 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Sweet 16 Update - April 13
Replies: 2
Views: 250

Sweet 16 Update - April 13

During the week ending April 12 the Sweet 16 lost 1.38% (primarily due to the overall market selloff on Friday) and it is now up 17.96% YTD. During the same week the S&P 500 Index lost 1.69% and is now up 7.10% YTD. Last week EIA, OPEC and IEA reports show a tight global oil market that I expect...
by dan_s
Sat Apr 13, 2024 8:48 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: Oil Price Rally: HFI's oil price forecast - Apr 13
Replies: 4
Views: 130

Oil Price Rally: HFI's oil price forecast - Apr 13

HFI Research is a respected firm. They agree with me that the "Right Price" for WTI oil is within the $80 to $85 range. Oil prices are getting a bit of a geopolitical risk premium from the war going on in the Middle East. > EIA has been overstating U.S. oil production. > IEA continues to u...
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:04 pm
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: What happened today?
Replies: 1
Views: 114

What happened today?

It is called "Market Risk". When the overall stock market has a bad day and especially a bad week, big money funds have to sell some of their best stocks to cover withdrawals and margin calls. WTI was up big this morning, over $2.00/bbl, but sold off in the afternoon. Good news is that the...
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:57 pm
Forum: Other topics of interest
Topic: Nat gas turns negative price in Texas
Replies: 2
Views: 97

Re: Nat gas turns negative price in Texas

Very important these days to know each company's hedges. Hedges and their impact on realized prices are shown at the bottom of each forecast model on our website. Learn how to use the tools we provide.
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:50 pm
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Apr 12
Replies: 2
Views: 78

Re: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Apr 12

I've made some minor adjustments to my forecast/valuation model and reposted it to the EPG website. My current valuation stays the same at $50/share. TipRanks' EPS and operating cash flow for 2024 moved higher, probably due to adjustments made by Neal Dingmann. TipRanks' forecast is actually higher ...
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 11:19 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Apr 12
Replies: 2
Views: 78

Re: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Apr 12

There are details on slide 6 of the April slide deck showing what the Company is building in Eddy County, New Mexico. They expect to close the next bolt-on acquisition during May, 2024. It will be an all-cash deal funded by proceeds from the Company's recent equity offering. The assets being acquire...
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 10:55 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Apr 12
Replies: 2
Views: 78

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Update - Apr 12

OKLAHOMA CITY, April 11, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSE American: REPX) ("Riley Permian" or the "Company") today announced that its Board of Directors has approved a cash dividend on the Company's common stock in the amount of $0.36 per share . The div...
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 10:18 am
Forum: Picks and tips from the EP community
Topic: Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) Valuation Update - Apr 12
Replies: 0
Views: 47

Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) Valuation Update - Apr 12

This morning, I updated my forecast model for Granite Ridge for my updated oil & gas price forecast. My value increases by $0.15 to $8.90/share. At the time of this post GRNT was trading at $6.84 GRNT is in our Small-Cap Growth Portfolio. > It is a "Non-Op" company, similar to Northern...
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 10:04 am
Forum: Sweet 16 Portfolio
Topic: Permian Resources (PR) Price Target Update - Apr 12
Replies: 0
Views: 171

Permian Resources (PR) Price Target Update - Apr 12

This morning Mark Lear, a 5-Star rated energy sector analyst at Piper Sandler sent a new report on PR to TipRanks. He rates it a BUY with a price target of $22.00 Since April 5th five energy sector analysts have updated their price targets for TipRanks. The average is $20.80 with a range of $17.00 b...
by dan_s
Fri Apr 12, 2024 8:53 am
Forum: The View from Houston
Topic: IEA monthly Oil Market Report - Apr 12
Replies: 0
Views: 71

IEA monthly Oil Market Report - Apr 12

IEA continues to slant their reports to lower oil demand growth in 2024 than what EIA and OPEC are reporting. However, the global oil market remains very tight with OECD Petroleum Inventories 65 million bbls below the 5-year average. Keep in mind that demand for oil-based products is higher than th...