GPOR

k1f
Posts: 455
Joined: Tue May 04, 2010 9:47 am

GPOR

Post by k1f »

Dan, Gulfport closes @ .35. Any idea why the collapse?
dan_s
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Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: GPOR

Post by dan_s »

With natural gas prices going up it makes no sense for GPOR to selloff.
They are generating more than enough cash flow to make their interest payments and Q4 operating cash flow should be over $100 million.

None of their senior debt is due until 2023. The revolving credit facility was reduced, but the Company should not need to draw anymore on it.

From the last 10Q: "As of June 30, 2020, $123.0 million was outstanding under the revolving credit facility and the total availability for future borrowings under this facility, after giving effect to an aggregate of $324.1 million letters of credit, was $252.9 million. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiaries have guaranteed the obligations of the Company under the revolving credit facility.
At June 30, 2020, amounts borrowed under the revolving credit facility bore interest at a weighted average rate of 2.44%.
The Company was in compliance with its financial covenants under the revolving credit facility at June 30, 2020."
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
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Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: GPOR

Post by dan_s »

This selloff might be that Gulfport's two legacy oil fields may have been damaged by hurricane Delta. Just guessing since Gulfport has not issued a press release.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
k1f
Posts: 455
Joined: Tue May 04, 2010 9:47 am

Re: GPOR

Post by k1f »

The only news is (S Alpha):

Shah Capital Management has filed an SC 13D/A form with SEC disclosing ownership of 12,266,335 shares of Gulfport Energy (NASDAQ:GPOR).

This represents 7.66% ownership of the company.

Shares +10% premarket.

(Hard to see how this would account for collapse.)
dan_s
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Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: GPOR

Post by dan_s »

Over 60 days, Zacks Rank for Gulfport Energy is #2 (Buy) and it has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2020 surge 220%.

GPOR is listed as one of Zacks Top 5 picks for natural gas.
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Range Resources, CNX, Gulfport, Comstock and Cabot
October 14, 2020
Read: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/zacks-an ... 05465.html

Zacks Top 5 for natural gas:

Range Resources Corp (RRC).: The company, carrying a Zacks Rank #1, has a strong footing in the prolific Appalachian Basin. In the gas-rich resource, the upstream firm has huge inventories of low-risk drilling sites that are likely to provide production for several decades. About 70% of the company’s total output is natural gas.

Over 60 days, Range Resources has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2020 surge 128.6%. The stock has soared 92.5% over the past six months.

CNX Resources Corp.: CNX Resources is a leading operator in the Appalachian basin — the most- prolific domestic gas basin — with more than 1.1 million net acres. About 96% of the company’s total output is natural gas. While the company’s low-cost, high-quality inventory should ensure long-term output growth, cash flows will also receive some downside protection from attractive hedges.

The 2020 Zacks Consensus Estimate for this Zacks Rank #1 company indicates 134.6% earnings per share growth over 2019. The stock has gained 9.2% over the past six months.

Gulfport Energy Corp.: The company's asset base — primarily focused on natural gas — is concentrated on the Utica Shale of Ohio and the SCOOP play in Oklahoma. Gulfport has a combined inventory in excess of 3,000 gross drilling locations in its two primary plays. Of Gulfport’s total output, nearly 90% comprises natural gas. Robust execution and strong performance should aid Gulfport’s performance going forward.

Over 60 days, Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2020 surge 220%. The stock has lost 14.8% over the past six months.

Comstock Resources, Inc.: Comstock is a leading operator in the Haynesville shale — a premier natural gas basin — with 307,000 net acres. About 98% of the Zacks Rank #2 company’s total output is natural gas. A low-cost provider, the company’s leadership position in Haynesville provides it access to the Gulf Coast and attractive pricing advantage.

Over 60 days, Comstock has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2020 increase 25.9%. The stock has lost 15.2% over the past six months.

Cabot Oil & Gas Corp.: Cabot is an independent gas exploration company with producing properties mainly in the continental United States. The company — with a Zacks Rank of 3 — owns 174,000 net acres in the dry gas window of the Marcellus play. Cabot boasts one of the strongest balance sheets among the natural gas-focused E&P group. The company's total assets are almost double that of its total liabilities, reflecting safety regarding debt payments, robust financing power and the ability to increase stock repurchases.

Over 60 days, Cabot has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2020 increase 14.8%. All of Cabot’s production is natural gas. The stock has edged up 0.2% over the past six months.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
k1f
Posts: 455
Joined: Tue May 04, 2010 9:47 am

Re: GPOR

Post by k1f »

Today (Thurs) GPOR is down .05 to @.30--about its 52week low. Something's going on.
GeraldR
Posts: 29
Joined: Thu May 06, 2010 12:19 pm

Re: GPOR

Post by GeraldR »

The market appears to be expecting a BK filing. I've just been through that with DNR. Ugh.
The shareholders consistently get screwed while management comes out smelling like a rose, running a new company with a lot less debt.
dan_s
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Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: GPOR

Post by dan_s »

I will call them on Friday.

Based on the Q2 press release and the sharp increase in natural gas prices, I can't see why the creditors would force bankruptcy. However, debt holders do stupid stuff.

Gulfport is generating FCF from operations today. Most of their revenues come from natural gas sales. Based on the low end of the production guidance they announced to the market on August 4, the Company should generate ~$120 million of cash flow from operations in Q4 net of interest expense. This compares to capex of ~$75 million per quarter, so FCF should be $45 million in Q4.

Sometimes these selloffs are just one big fund dumping shares.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
k1f
Posts: 455
Joined: Tue May 04, 2010 9:47 am

Re: GPOR

Post by k1f »

News from SA:

<<Firefly Value Partners reported via Form-4 filing that as of October 13, 2020, they ceased to collectively beneficially own 10% or more of Gulfport Energy’s (NASDAQ:GPOR) outstanding shares of common stock.

Fund sold 68M shares at $0.4064 on Oct. 13, thereby reducing its stake to 14.1M shares.

In another filing, the Company entered into a 30-day grace period and defer making the interest payment due October 15, 2020 with respect to its 6.000% senior unsecured notes due 2024.>>
dan_s
Posts: 34921
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: GPOR

Post by dan_s »

The last sentence usually means that they are working on a debt restructuring plan. However, with natural gas and NGL prices on the rise they should be able to get the debt holders to back off and let it play out. Gulfport knows that the balance sheet ratios will be out of compliance with the debt covenants (my guess) and they doubt or have been told that the debt holders won't grant them another wavier.
The problem is once the lawyers/restructuring gang gets called in, it is difficult to stop the process. I worked on a Chapter 11 case for two years after I left Hess in 2001, I saw first hand how the lawyers work it to maximize their fees.
I did call Gulfport, but investor relations did not answer and they have not returned my call.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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