Callon Petroleum (CPE) Update - Feb 6
Posted: Tue Feb 06, 2018 2:42 pm
Updating my forecast/valuation model for CPE now based on the press release below. - Dan
NATCHEZ, Miss., Feb. 1, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Callon Petroleum Company (CPE) ("Callon" or the "Company") today announced an operational update and 2018 capital expenditure budget, including an associated drilling activity and production forecast.
Fourth quarter 2017 production of approximately 26.5 MBoe/d (79% oil) < This compares to my forecast of 25,250 Boepd production for Q4.
Full year 2017 annual production growth of over 50%
Operational capital expenditures for 2018 are expected to be $500 to $540 million dollars, with approximately 40% allocated to the Delaware Basin and 60% to the Midland Basin
Expect to spud 47 to 50 net wells and place 43 to 46 net wells on production
Forecast 2018 production growth of approximately 30% to 40%
Joe Gatto, President and Chief Executive Officer of Callon, shared "We are extremely pleased with the strong sequential production growth of 18% in the fourth quarter of 2017, including over 20% growth in oil volumes. Our oil production percentage continues to be amongst the highest within the Permian Basin peer group and is an underlying driver of our leading cash margins." He continued, "Looking into 2018, Callon will remain focused on increasing activity on a measured basis as we continue to pull forward robust well-level economics across our footprint to support an upward trajectory of corporate level returns, while also maintaining a solid financial position. Importantly, we will be seeking to complement our strong margins with capital efficiency enhancements, including larger pad development concepts and the use of local sand in our completion designs. As we continue to progress multi-pad development in the Midland Basin and add a second dedicated rig in the Delaware Basin, we expect to see another significant production increase after the first quarter, with multiple projects coming online during the second and third quarters."
Operational Update
During the fourth quarter of 2017, the Company produced an estimated 26.5 MBoe/d with oil comprising 79% of volumes. The Company placed 12.5 total net wells online during the quarter, including 11.5 net wells in the Midland Basin and 1 net well in the Delaware Basin. Full year 2017 production is expected to be approximately 22.9 Boe/d, with oil accounting for 78% of volumes. Capital spending for the fourth quarter is estimated to be approximately $115 million, not including the net effect of completed infrastructure monetizations. Inclusive of these monetizations, the net cash outlay is expected to be approximately $95 million for the quarter.
Inclement weather during January has resulted in production curtailments in excess of our historical downtime assumptions in both the Delaware and Midland basins. The impact of this downtime is reflected in our full year 2018 production guidance.
2018 Capital Expenditures Budget
Callon expects total operational capital expenditures to range between $500 and $540 million in 2018 (excluding capitalized expenses), including the assumption of potential cost inflation of 10% for drilling and completion activities at the midpoint of the range. Planned activity is to be allocated relatively equally between the Delaware Basin (40%) and Midland Basin (60%) and is assumed to be over 98% operated by Callon. The Company expects to add a fifth drilling rig in the first quarter and continue to utilize two dedicated completion crews throughout the year. In addition, the program assumes the spud of 47 to 50 net wells with 43 to 46 wells placed on production in 2018. Overall, the Company forecasts 2018 average daily production of 29.5 to 32.0 MBoe/d (77% oil).
In the Delaware basin, planned activity is expected to focus primarily on development of the Wolfcamp A. In the Midland Basin, the drilling program will be primarily underpinned by activity in the Monarch areas focused on Lower Spraberry pad development and activity in the WildHorse area focused on Wolfcamp A pad development. Callon will also continue to selectively delineate emerging zones including the Wolfcamp C in both the Midland and Delaware Basins and the second Bone Spring shale in the Delaware Basin.
NATCHEZ, Miss., Feb. 1, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Callon Petroleum Company (CPE) ("Callon" or the "Company") today announced an operational update and 2018 capital expenditure budget, including an associated drilling activity and production forecast.
Fourth quarter 2017 production of approximately 26.5 MBoe/d (79% oil) < This compares to my forecast of 25,250 Boepd production for Q4.
Full year 2017 annual production growth of over 50%
Operational capital expenditures for 2018 are expected to be $500 to $540 million dollars, with approximately 40% allocated to the Delaware Basin and 60% to the Midland Basin
Expect to spud 47 to 50 net wells and place 43 to 46 net wells on production
Forecast 2018 production growth of approximately 30% to 40%
Joe Gatto, President and Chief Executive Officer of Callon, shared "We are extremely pleased with the strong sequential production growth of 18% in the fourth quarter of 2017, including over 20% growth in oil volumes. Our oil production percentage continues to be amongst the highest within the Permian Basin peer group and is an underlying driver of our leading cash margins." He continued, "Looking into 2018, Callon will remain focused on increasing activity on a measured basis as we continue to pull forward robust well-level economics across our footprint to support an upward trajectory of corporate level returns, while also maintaining a solid financial position. Importantly, we will be seeking to complement our strong margins with capital efficiency enhancements, including larger pad development concepts and the use of local sand in our completion designs. As we continue to progress multi-pad development in the Midland Basin and add a second dedicated rig in the Delaware Basin, we expect to see another significant production increase after the first quarter, with multiple projects coming online during the second and third quarters."
Operational Update
During the fourth quarter of 2017, the Company produced an estimated 26.5 MBoe/d with oil comprising 79% of volumes. The Company placed 12.5 total net wells online during the quarter, including 11.5 net wells in the Midland Basin and 1 net well in the Delaware Basin. Full year 2017 production is expected to be approximately 22.9 Boe/d, with oil accounting for 78% of volumes. Capital spending for the fourth quarter is estimated to be approximately $115 million, not including the net effect of completed infrastructure monetizations. Inclusive of these monetizations, the net cash outlay is expected to be approximately $95 million for the quarter.
Inclement weather during January has resulted in production curtailments in excess of our historical downtime assumptions in both the Delaware and Midland basins. The impact of this downtime is reflected in our full year 2018 production guidance.
2018 Capital Expenditures Budget
Callon expects total operational capital expenditures to range between $500 and $540 million in 2018 (excluding capitalized expenses), including the assumption of potential cost inflation of 10% for drilling and completion activities at the midpoint of the range. Planned activity is to be allocated relatively equally between the Delaware Basin (40%) and Midland Basin (60%) and is assumed to be over 98% operated by Callon. The Company expects to add a fifth drilling rig in the first quarter and continue to utilize two dedicated completion crews throughout the year. In addition, the program assumes the spud of 47 to 50 net wells with 43 to 46 wells placed on production in 2018. Overall, the Company forecasts 2018 average daily production of 29.5 to 32.0 MBoe/d (77% oil).
In the Delaware basin, planned activity is expected to focus primarily on development of the Wolfcamp A. In the Midland Basin, the drilling program will be primarily underpinned by activity in the Monarch areas focused on Lower Spraberry pad development and activity in the WildHorse area focused on Wolfcamp A pad development. Callon will also continue to selectively delineate emerging zones including the Wolfcamp C in both the Midland and Delaware Basins and the second Bone Spring shale in the Delaware Basin.