Oil Price Forecast - Oct 17
Posted: Wed Oct 17, 2018 12:37 pm
Raymond James:
"Maintaining our Full Year Crude Forecast: In 3Q18, WTI came in very close to our forecast for $70 (< 1% below). However, Brent
averaged 6% below our model. WTI remains around $70/bbl, a level that we expect the commodity to remain at through the end of
the year. As such, we are maintaining our 3Q/4Q estimate for WTI of $70/bbl and 3Q and 4Q estimate for Brent of $80/bbl and
$85/bbl, respectively."
For 2019 RJ is forecasting $67.50 WTI and $80 Brent
"Which E&P Names are Best Positioned when it comes to In-Basin Price Fluctuations? We see WPX, Pioneer, and Parsley are
the best-positioned among Permian-heavy operators when it comes to being insulated from in-basin price fluctuations in 2019.
Each has less than 30% of their 2019 expected Permian crude production exposed to Midland pricing. On the flip side, we see
Cimarex, and Matador as being highly exposed to the lower Midland spot pricing, which, given our midstream group’s improved
outlook for Permian differentials, isn’t as dire as we would have projected previously."
"Maintaining our Full Year Crude Forecast: In 3Q18, WTI came in very close to our forecast for $70 (< 1% below). However, Brent
averaged 6% below our model. WTI remains around $70/bbl, a level that we expect the commodity to remain at through the end of
the year. As such, we are maintaining our 3Q/4Q estimate for WTI of $70/bbl and 3Q and 4Q estimate for Brent of $80/bbl and
$85/bbl, respectively."
For 2019 RJ is forecasting $67.50 WTI and $80 Brent
"Which E&P Names are Best Positioned when it comes to In-Basin Price Fluctuations? We see WPX, Pioneer, and Parsley are
the best-positioned among Permian-heavy operators when it comes to being insulated from in-basin price fluctuations in 2019.
Each has less than 30% of their 2019 expected Permian crude production exposed to Midland pricing. On the flip side, we see
Cimarex, and Matador as being highly exposed to the lower Midland spot pricing, which, given our midstream group’s improved
outlook for Permian differentials, isn’t as dire as we would have projected previously."