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EIA - Weekly Petroleum Report - Sept 5

Posted: Thu Sep 05, 2019 10:11 am
by dan_s
Summary of Weekly Petroleum Data for the week ending August 30, 2019 with my comments in blue.

U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 17.4 million barrels per day during the week ending August 30, 2019, which was 27,000 barrels per day less than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 94.8% of their operable capacity last week. Gasoline production decreased last week, averaging 10.3 million barrels per day. Distillate fuel production decreased last week, averaging 5.2 million barrels per day.

U.S. crude oil imports averaged 6.9 million barrels per day last week, up by 976,000 barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 6.9 million barrels per day, 12.5% less than the same four-week period last year. Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 717,000 barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 126,000 barrels per day.

Note that with imports of crude oil up and refinery inputs down (slightly) we would expect an increase in crude oil inventory, but ....

> U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 4.8 million barrels from the previous week. At 423.0 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are at the five year average for this time of year.
> Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 2.4 million barrels last week and are about 3% above the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline inventories remained virtually unchanged while blending components inventories decreased last week.
> Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 2.5 million barrels last week and are about 6% below the five year average for this time of year.
> Propane/propylene inventories increased by 2.9 million barrels last week and are about 14% above the five year average for this time of year.
> Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased last week by 4.9 million barrels last week.

The Big Three inventories were down 9.7 million barrels. Bullish report.

Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 21.7 million barrels per day, up by 1.6% from the same period last year. Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied averaged 9.7 million barrels per day, up by 0.9% from the same period last year. Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 4.0 million barrels per day over the past four weeks, down by 5.7% from the same period last year. Jet fuel product supplied was up 1.9% compared with the same four-week period last year.

Re: EIA - Weekly Petroleum Report - Sept 5

Posted: Thu Sep 05, 2019 3:05 pm
by dan_s
Last week EIA reported a 200,000 BOPD increase in U.S. oil production. This week they reported a 100,000 BOPD decline; back to 12,400,000 BOPD which my guess is still way too high.

Days of Supply week to week change

Crude oil down 0.2 to 24.2 days of supply
Gasoline down 0.1 to 23.6
Jet fuel up 0.3 to 22.3
Distillates down 1.2 to 33.8

Anything under 25 days of supply is "low" and under 20 days of supply is "dangerously low" and risks regional supply problems.