OK
I will update it each day and post it to the EPG Website.
The number of confirmed cases is going to accelerate just because we are going to test a lot more people with the new drive through process. I wonder how accurate those tests are?
As of 2PM CT on Sunday, March 16 at this website:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
167,751 Confirmed Cases
-76,598 People that have fully recovered (in addition there are 78,886 people in the hospital with "mild" cases that are expected to totally recover)
- 6,456 Deaths
-----------------------
84,697 Active Cases
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So... (76,598 + 78,886) / 167,751 = a recovery rate of 92.7%. NOTE that healthy people under 70 are getting over it quickly.
That doesn't mean the death rate is 7.3% because:
> Over half of the "Serious Cases" are likely to recover
> There are many more people who have the virus who will recover on their own within 10 days that will never be included in the "Confirmed Cases".
> My SWAG is that the death rate is ~2% and way below that for people under 40.
It sure would be nice if the WHO would communicate what is happening in China because their number of Confirmed Cases has almost stopped and their number of Active Cases is dropping like a rock. Do the Chinese have a cure? Are they just lying to protect their economy?
It would also be nice if the Deaths were broken down by age and those people who had pre-existing conditions.
Lots of confusion and lots of FEAR because of the "Click Bait" being put out 24/7 by the media.
One thing that really jumps out on the spreadsheet is that the U.S. and most of the countries in Europe aren't letting people go home from the hospital. The number of people shown as "recovered" in the U.S. has been stuck on 12 for over a week. Why?
All we know for sure is that it takes a lot of toilet paper to survive this
PANDEMIC