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EIA Weekly Petroleum Report - Feb 16

Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:10 am
by dan_s
Summary of Weekly Petroleum Data for the week ending February 11, 2022

Focus should be on inventory levels compared to the 5-year average.

U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 14.9 million barrels per day during the week ending February 11, 2022 which was 0.7 million barrels per day less than the previous week’s average.
Refineries operated at 85.3% of their operable capacity last week. < This really needs to increase soon to replenish transportation fuel inventories.
Gasoline production decreased last week, averaging 8.8 million barrels per day.
Distillate fuel production decreased last week, averaging 4.6 million barrels per day.

U.S. crude oil imports averaged 5.8 million barrels per day last week, decreased by 0.6 million barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 6.4 million barrels per day, 9.3% more than the same four-week period last year.
Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 555,000 barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 437,000 barrels per day.

> U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 1.1 million barrels from the previous week. At 411.5 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about 10% below the five year average for this time of year.
> Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 1.3 million barrels last week and are about 3% below the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline and blending components inventories both decreased last week.
> Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.6 million barrels last week and are about 19% below the five year average for this time of year. < This is now EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. It is going to take a lot of diesel to solve our supply chain problems.
> Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 5.9 million barrels last week and are about 17% below the five year average for this time of year.
>> Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 9.9 million barrels last week.

Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 22.1 million barrels a day, up by 11.9% from the same period last year.
Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied averaged 8.6 million barrels a day, up by 8.0% from the same period last year.
Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 4.5 million barrels a day over the past four weeks, up by 4.5% from the same period last year.
Jet fuel product supplied was up 27.7% compared with the same four week period last year
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Demand for oil-based products is "seasonal". We are now in the low demand period and in two months we enter the high demand period. Between now and the end of April global demand will increase by over 2 million barrels per day. OPEC+ cannot saves us this year.

Re: EIA Weekly Petroleum Report - Feb 16

Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:11 am
by dan_s
Trading Economics:
WTI crude futures extended a rebound to above $94.5 per barrel on Wednesday, moving closer to a 2014-high of $95.82 hit on Monday and after falling more than 3.5% in the prior session as market participants see global oil supplies tight while assessing East-West relations. The latest EIA report showed crude holdings at the storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma declined by 1.9 million barrels, the sixth consecutive week of falls. The report also showed a draw in gasoline and distillates inventories, while national holdings increased. Elsewhere, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said that Russia was continuing its military build-up near Ukraine's border and President Biden warned a Russian attack was still possible.