InPlay Oil (IPO.TO and IPOOF) Update - May 31
Posted: Sat May 31, 2025 9:49 am
I spent several hours on May 30 (after our webinar) focusing on InPlay Oil, one of the four Canadian Upstream companies in our High Yield Income Portfolio that pays monthly dividends.
My updated profile and forecast/valuation model for InPlay has been posted to the EPG website.
I also recommend that you go to the InPlay website ( https://www.inplayoil.com/ ) and carefully review their updated Corporate Presentation. It will help you understand how SIGNIFICANT the Pembina Area Acquisition (that closed on April 7th) is to a company of this size; it more than doubles the Company's production.
InPlay's increased "Running Room" in their core area of operation and their production mix (49% light oil, 39% natural gas and 12% NGLs) puts InPlay on a path to generate close to $5.00/share of operating cash flow in 2024. InPlay's operating cash flow was $1.07/share in Q1 2025, which did not include the impact of the acquisition that closed on April 7.
InPlay's size (now close to 18,750 Boepd) and it's strong free cash flow should draw a lot more analysts' coverage after they announce Q2 results.
My current valuation of $14/share is based on 2.5 X annualized operating cash flow per share for 2024 thru 2026. If InPlay's Q2 results and their guidance for the remainder of 2025 confirms my forecast model assumptions, the valuation multiple should increase to 3X, which is still a conservative multiple for a company with this much high-quality running room.
My updated profile and forecast/valuation model for InPlay has been posted to the EPG website.
I also recommend that you go to the InPlay website ( https://www.inplayoil.com/ ) and carefully review their updated Corporate Presentation. It will help you understand how SIGNIFICANT the Pembina Area Acquisition (that closed on April 7th) is to a company of this size; it more than doubles the Company's production.
InPlay's increased "Running Room" in their core area of operation and their production mix (49% light oil, 39% natural gas and 12% NGLs) puts InPlay on a path to generate close to $5.00/share of operating cash flow in 2024. InPlay's operating cash flow was $1.07/share in Q1 2025, which did not include the impact of the acquisition that closed on April 7.
InPlay's size (now close to 18,750 Boepd) and it's strong free cash flow should draw a lot more analysts' coverage after they announce Q2 results.
My current valuation of $14/share is based on 2.5 X annualized operating cash flow per share for 2024 thru 2026. If InPlay's Q2 results and their guidance for the remainder of 2025 confirms my forecast model assumptions, the valuation multiple should increase to 3X, which is still a conservative multiple for a company with this much high-quality running room.