Oil Prices - May 19
Posted: Tue May 19, 2015 1:50 pm
Speculators drive crude oil prices. To be more specific, their day-trading drives the price of NYMEX futures contacts. The price you see on the news for WTI oil is the front month NYMEX futures contract.
The only reason I see for todays $2/bbl drop in the oil price is that the U.S. dollar index is up today.
When the school year ends this month, demand for transportation fuels increases.
I think WTI will flop around in the $55-$60 range through June. Then we should see a rising pattern, but it will not be in a straight line. In 2009, when WTI worked its way back to the trend line, there were many peaks and valleys.
The only reason I see for todays $2/bbl drop in the oil price is that the U.S. dollar index is up today.
When the school year ends this month, demand for transportation fuels increases.
I think WTI will flop around in the $55-$60 range through June. Then we should see a rising pattern, but it will not be in a straight line. In 2009, when WTI worked its way back to the trend line, there were many peaks and valleys.