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Concho Resources Q2 Results

Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 11:58 am
by dan_s
Concho's Q2 results beat my forecast for production, adjusted EPS and operating CFPS. Updating my forecast model now. - Dan

Second-Quarter 2016 Highlights
Delivered quarterly production of 13.2 million Boe, or 145.2 MBoepd, exceeding the high end of the Company’s guidance.
Raised full-year 2016 production outlook to a range of 0% to 2% annual growth and maintained capital expenditure outlook.
Reduced per-unit lease operating expense by 20% year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter and lowered full-year 2016 guidance for per-unit lease operating expense.
Reported a net loss of $265.7 million, or $2.04 per diluted share. Net income totaled $33.9 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, on an adjusted basis (non-GAAP).
Generated $413.6 million of EBITDAX (non-GAAP).

See “Supplemental Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release for a description of non-GAAP measures adjusted net income, adjusted earnings per share and EBITDAX and a reconciliation of these measures to the associated GAAP measure.

Tim Leach, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President, commented, “We continue to execute a disciplined strategy that is focused on improving capital productivity while extending our track record of solid operational performance. The second quarter exceeded expectations both operationally and financially. Production surpassed the high-end of our guidance range, and for the fourth straight quarter our capital spending was funded within cash flow. Our updated 2016 outlook for annual production growth and lower cash operating expenses reflects the quality of our assets and our efforts to pursue sustainable efficiencies that enhance full-cycle returns. The momentum we are generating combined with the scale of our core assets in the Permian Basin reinforces our 2017 outlook for double-digit production growth while continuing to balance capital and cash flow.”

Re: Concho Resources Q2 Results

Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 1:47 pm
by dan_s
I have updated my forecast model after listening to Concho's conference call. My valuation increases by $7.00 to $140.00, compared to First Call's Price Target of $135.14 (which I am sure will be going up next week as Wall Street analysts update their forecasts).

Concho's production continues to exceed their production guidance quarter-after-quarter. They have raised their production guidance. Well results throughout the Permian Basin continue to improve. Cash flow from operations is fully funding this year's capital program and they have more than enough liquidity to ramp up drilling if commodity prices improve.

38% of Concho's production (on a boe basis) is natural gas and NGLs. I am expecting much higher gas prices within six months.

PS: Concho said they are going to use a lot more frac sand in future wells, adding to the bullish outlook for the frac sand companies (HCLP, EMES, SLCA and FMSA)

Re: Concho Resources Q2 Results

Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 8:36 pm
by dan_s
If you own CXO or if you are interested in the Permian Basin, read this article.

http://www.oilandgas360.com/30-50-conch ... 65f9f325a5