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PDC Energy - Valuation Adjusted

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2016 12:54 pm
by dan_s
I have updated my profile on PDC Energy. This may sound weird, but I have lowered my valuation by $5/share to $87.00 even though I feel better about the company today. First Call's price target is $76.58.

PDCE issued more shares for the Permian Basin acquisition that they announced on August 23rd. The dilution lowered their cash flow per share, which impacts my valuation. I actually feel better about PDCE because the new Permian Basin "Core Area" gives it a lot more long-term potential. After the deal closes in the 4th quarter and they raise their production guidance, I will probably feel justified in using a higher multiple of CFPS to value it.

PCDE should also get a boost from the fact that the two initiatives that would have shutdown drilling in Colorado have been kicked out due to not having enough valid signatures.

PDCE has a lot of upside for us. Read the profile carefully and I think you will agree.

Re: PDC Energy - Valuation Adjusted

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2016 1:18 pm
by dan_s
August 30: SEAPORT GLOBAL UPGRADES PDC ENERGY TO BUY

Re: PDC Energy - Valuation Adjusted

Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:11 am
by setliff
what is wrong with pdce? upgrades all over the place--latest today a reiteration at stifel and it is down >$1

Re: PDC Energy - Valuation Adjusted

Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2016 11:40 am
by dan_s
Dilution caused by the stock offering, but IMO it is a Screaming Buy at today's price. The team at PDCE is really good.