Natural Gas Storage Report - October 13
Posted: Thu Oct 13, 2016 10:37 am
Working gas in storage was 3,759 Bcf as of Friday, October 7, 2016, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net increase of 79 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 56 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 192 Bcf above the five-year average of 3,567 Bcf. At 3,759 Bcf, total working gas is above the five-year historical range.
This is the 23rd week in a row that the net increase in storage has been SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW the 5-year average.
> Over this 161 day period (23 X 7), the net increases in storage have been 648 Bcf
> That is 4.02 Bcf per day (648 Bcf / 161 days)
> I have NEVER seen the difference to the 5-year average this large for such an extended period.
By the end of October: Ngas in storage should be BELOW where it was a year ago
By the end of November: Ngas in storage should be BELOW the 5-year average.
This is EXTREMELY BULLISH because U.S. natural gas demand is now 8 Bcf ABOVE where it was five years ago and a colder than normal winter is forecast.
My favorite "gassers" are AR, GPOR and RRC. I am going to take a hard look at EQT today and may add it to the Sweet 16 in the next newsletter.
This is also bullish for NGL prices.
This is the 23rd week in a row that the net increase in storage has been SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW the 5-year average.
> Over this 161 day period (23 X 7), the net increases in storage have been 648 Bcf
> That is 4.02 Bcf per day (648 Bcf / 161 days)
> I have NEVER seen the difference to the 5-year average this large for such an extended period.
By the end of October: Ngas in storage should be BELOW where it was a year ago
By the end of November: Ngas in storage should be BELOW the 5-year average.
This is EXTREMELY BULLISH because U.S. natural gas demand is now 8 Bcf ABOVE where it was five years ago and a colder than normal winter is forecast.
My favorite "gassers" are AR, GPOR and RRC. I am going to take a hard look at EQT today and may add it to the Sweet 16 in the next newsletter.
This is also bullish for NGL prices.