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Newfield Exploration (NFX)

Posted: Tue Nov 01, 2016 6:00 pm
by dan_s
3rd quarter results beat my forecast and the company raised full year production guidance. I am updating my forecast model and will have it posted to the EPG late today or on Wednesday morning. Lots of info pouring in now. - Dan

Third Quarter 2016 Financial and Production Summary

For the third quarter, the Company recorded net income of $48 million, or $0.24 per share (all per share amounts are on a diluted basis). Adjusted net income for the third quarter was $89 million, or $0.45 per share after adjustment for the items below:
•a legal settlement charge of $18 million, or $0.08 per share;
•unrealized derivative losses of $11 million, or $0.05 per share; and
•organizational restructuring and severance costs of $16 million, or $0.08 per share.

Revenues for the third quarter were $392 million. Net cash provided by operating activities was $209 million. Discretionary cash flow from operations was $183 million.

Newfield's total net production in the third quarter of 2016 was 15.2 MMBOE, comprised of 42% oil, 19% natural gas liquids and 39% natural gas. Domestic production in the third quarter was 14.3 MMBOE.

2016 Production Guidance and Capital Investments

Newfield again increased expectations for its 2016 production. The increase is related primarily to stronger performance year-to-date from existing assets. Domestic net production is now expected to be 53.7 – 54.1 MMBOE and total Company net production guidance was raised to 58.8 – 59.2 MMBOE (previous forecasts included 1.1 MMBOE in the fourth quarter of 2016 for recently sold Eagle Ford and South Texas assets). See table in @NFX for additional production detail.

The Company's 2016 capital investments are now expected to be approximately $750 million, or the upper end of its previous $700 – $750 million capital investment range (excludes capitalized interest and direct internal costs; excludes acquisitions). The increase to the upper end of our previous range reflects the planned addition of drilling rigs in the Anadarko Basin in late 2016.

Re: Newfield Exploration (NFX)

Posted: Tue Nov 01, 2016 6:46 pm
by dan_s
3rd quarter results and increased production guidance cause my valuation to increase by $2.65/share to $62.00. This compares to First Call's price target of $53.03.

Newfield has a strong balance sheet with no long-term debt maturities until 2022. This year's capex program s/b totally funded by cash flow from operations. Non-core asset sales give them move liquidity to accelerate STACK drilling where they continue to get fantastic well results.

NFX has lots of running room in STACK. I also like their production mix.

Re: Newfield Exploration (NFX)

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2016 7:43 am
by wilmawatts
Third time in 6 months they have upped their guidance.

Devon shot out the lights in STACK also.

Sweet

Re: Newfield Exploration (NFX)

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2016 7:48 am
by wilmawatts
What is the difference between the NFX "XL" wells and the NFX "SXL" wells?

Lateral length? Density?

I should know this, embarrassed to ask Dan

Re: Newfield Exploration (NFX)

Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2016 8:56 am
by dan_s
Length of the lateral. I think they define the terms in their presentation.

Re: Newfield Exploration (NFX)

Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2016 6:26 am
by wilmawatts
Thx.