Sweet 16 Update - April 9

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dan_s
Posts: 37329
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Sweet 16 Update - April 9

Post by dan_s »

The Sweet 16 finished the week strong, up 5.32% for the week and now up 13.68% YTD. This compares to the S&P 500 Index that is up just 0.18% YTD.

We will be sending out the next edition of The View From Houston on Monday, which will highlight several of the companies.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 37329
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Sweet 16 Update - April 9

Post by dan_s »

I took a hard look at my forecast models and valuations for Diamondback Energy (FANG) and Cimarex Energy (XEC) on Saturday morning. Both stocks closed above my Fair Value Estimates on Friday.
I have "tweeked" my forecast models and slightly increased my valuations, but both of these companies are now trading at close to 12X CFPS. I cannot justify higher valuations until I get more information, which will be when first quarter results come out in early May.

If you own XEC, I suggest moving that money to NFX, DVN or CLR. These are my Top Picks for what they have in SCOOP & STACK

If you own FANG, I suggest you consider moving to CRZO, PDCE, RSPP or CPE.

To be clear, there is nothing wrong with FANG or XEC. They are both high quality companies with a lot of running room.

It is a very good sign that some companies are finally approaching my valuations. A sign that some big money is rotating back to the energy sector.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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