Oil Prices used in forecasts

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dan_s
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Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Oil Prices used in forecasts

Post by dan_s »

The oil prices used in my forecast models for the Sweet 16 and all of our other model portfolios are as follows, adjusted for each company's hedges and regional price differentials. You can download the forecast models and change the commodity prices for the forecast periods if you do not agree and the spreadsheets will automatically update EPS, CFPS and stock valuations.

Q2 2016 = $40
Q3 2016 = $50
Q4 2016 = $60
Yr 2017 = $60

Raymond James forecast:
Q2 2016 = $40
Q3 2016 = $60
Q4 2016 = $65
Yr 2017 = $75

For natural gas I am assuming:
Q2 2016 = $2.00
Q3 2016 = $2.20
Q4 2016 = $2.70
Yr 2017 = $3.00
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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