John White at Roth Capital:
Our valuation is based on a net asset value (NAV) analysis which produced $12.95 per share which we adjusted higher to our $13.00 per share price target.
TALO: Beats on EBITDA, Production In-Line: Positive
TALO reported 3Q 2020 EBITDA of $78.6 million, topping the consensus figure of $75.9 million and our estimate of $75.8 million. The beat was due to slightly higher than expected production of 48,600 BOE per day against the consensus estimate of 48,370 BOE per day. The realized oil price was in line and the realized NGL price was higher than we expected at $10.96 versus our figure of $8.18/bbl and LOE was slightly lower than expectations.
Liquidity strong at $353.8 million including $32.4 million in cash and $321.4 million of availability under the $985.0 million borrowing base.
We will further review these results and revise our projections accordingly.
Talos Energy Update - Q3 Results
Talos Energy Update - Q3 Results
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
Energy Prospectus Group
Re: Talos Energy Update - Q3 Results
Talos Energy Inc. (TALO, $6.14, Buy; Target 15.00) -
CFPS Beats Diminished Expectations During Storm-Plagued 3Q - Michael S. Scialla at Stifel
We view the release as neutral. The positives include: i) 3Q20 CFPS beat on production and unit costs; ii) preliminary results from the Tornado water flood are positive; iii) the company plans to restore production to its target rate of 71-73 MBoepd by YE20 despite excessive storm-related delays. The negatives include: i) 3Q20 capex was 7% above consensus; ii) weather continued to impact 4Q operations. In summary, 3Q20 results beat expectations that were diminished by an abnormally active GOM storm season while investors wait on Zama unitization results and the outcome of the borrowing base redetermination. We lower our target price to $15.00 from $17.00 previously.
CFPS Beats Diminished Expectations During Storm-Plagued 3Q - Michael S. Scialla at Stifel
We view the release as neutral. The positives include: i) 3Q20 CFPS beat on production and unit costs; ii) preliminary results from the Tornado water flood are positive; iii) the company plans to restore production to its target rate of 71-73 MBoepd by YE20 despite excessive storm-related delays. The negatives include: i) 3Q20 capex was 7% above consensus; ii) weather continued to impact 4Q operations. In summary, 3Q20 results beat expectations that were diminished by an abnormally active GOM storm season while investors wait on Zama unitization results and the outcome of the borrowing base redetermination. We lower our target price to $15.00 from $17.00 previously.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
Energy Prospectus Group