EIA Weekly Petroleum Report - Dec 16

[dan_s]

Summary of Weekly Petroleum Data for the week ending December 11, 2020

U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 14.2 million barrels per day during the week ending December 11, 2020 which was 253,000 barrels per day less than the previous week’s average.
Refineries operated at 79.1% of their operable capacity last week. < I would love to see this go over 80% by year-end. Refiners are the "consumers" of crude oil.
Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 8.5 million barrels per day.
Distillate fuel production decreased last week, averaging 4.6 million barrels per day.

U.S. crude oil imports averaged 5.4 million barrels per day last week, decreased by 1.1 million barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged
about 5.6 million barrels per day, 12.1% less than the same four-week period last year.
Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 611,000 barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 492,000 barrels per day.

> U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 3.1 million barrels from the previous week. At 500.1 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about 10% above the five year average for this time of year. < U.S. crude oil inventories always increase in Q1 as refiners build their feedstock inventories ahead of the sharp increase in demand for transportation fuels that occurs in the spring. The top of the 5-year range for crude oil inventories goes over 530 million barrels in March.
> Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 1.0 million barrels last week and are about 4% above the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline inventories decreased while blending components inventories increased last week.
> Distillate fuel inventories increased by 0.2 million barrels last week and are about 11% above the five year average for this time of year.
> Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 3.7 million barrels last week and are about 3% above the five year average for this time of year.
>>Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 6.2 million barrels last week. < Bullish compared to what API reported late yesterday.

Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 18.9 million barrels a day, down by 8.4% from the same period last year.
Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied averaged 7.9 million barrels a day, down by 13.3% from the same period last year.
Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 3.8 million barrels a day over the past four weeks, down by 2.8% from the same period last year.
Jet fuel product supplied was down 36.2% compared with the same four-week period last year.
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If the Covid-19 vaccines work, we should see demand for everything except Jet Fuel rebound sharply in Q2 2021.