Oil Price Forecast - Nov 5

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dan_s
Posts: 37323
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Oil Price Forecast - Nov 5

Post by dan_s »

"The yen's recent drubbing vs. the dollar -- sparked by their relative yield differential -- could turn up the pressure on other Asian currencies, aggravating investors' inflation woes and giving commodities added glow. Our analysis suggests WTI could jump to $122 if dollar-yen tests 160." - Bloomberg 11-4-2022

My "SWAG" is that WTI goes over $100 soon after the SPR draws end, which should be soon after the midterms.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
Fraser921
Posts: 3240
Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2021 11:48 am

Re: Oil Price Forecast - Nov 5

Post by Fraser921 »

I positioned myself for that very thing. Buying 2 covered call WTI crude contracts, dec 90/93 and dec 90/94. Also a futures contract for Dec 2023 at 80. I don't see crude falling until things change
dan_s
Posts: 37323
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Oil Price Forecast - Nov 5

Post by dan_s »

Owning Hemisphere Energy (HMENF) is like owning a call on crude oil prices that never expires and pays a nice dividend. It is a pure play on oil.

If WTI does go to $120, HMENF should be a triple for us from where it is trading today.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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