MWE

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gjames
Posts: 67
Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 12:41 pm

MWE

Post by gjames »

Dan,
Wondering if your take on MWE has changed any recently? Shares have been punished lately on a weak quarter, and now a secondary offering this morning. It seems like MLP price dips on a secondary offering in the past have been pretty good buying opportunities. Would like to make sure your opinion hasn't changed before I add more.
Thanks!
dan_s
Posts: 37277
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: MWE

Post by dan_s »

Thanks for reminding me that I need to update my forecast model for MWE. I will do it today and have more comments later.

I thought yesterday's press release by RRC contained some very good news for MWE.

Feds decision today to leave interest rates low should help all MLPs.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 37277
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: MWE

Post by dan_s »

DCF = Distributable Cash Flows

For 2013, the Partnership forecasts DCF in a range of $475 million to $485 million based on its current forecast of operational volumes, expected impact of short-term operational constraints and prices for crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids and derivative instruments currently outstanding.

For 2014, the Partnership forecasts DCF in a range of $600 million to $690 million based on its current forecast of operational volumes and prices for crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids and derivative instruments currently outstanding. A commodity price sensitivity analysis for forecasted 2014 DCF is provided within the tables of this press release.

My take: Cash distributions to unit holders should be $3.50 to $3.60 in 2014.

The last quarterly distribution was $0.85/unit.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 37277
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: MWE

Post by dan_s »

MarkWest Energy Partners LP (MWE): An updated Net Income & Cash Flow Forecast model has been posted under the MLP Tab.

First Call's 12-month target price is $77.83, which looks reasonable to me.

For higher yield (and a bit more risk) take a look at our recent profiles on SXE and MEMP. Both look very attractive to me at the current unit prices.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
gjames
Posts: 67
Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 12:41 pm

Re: MWE

Post by gjames »

Thanks Dan!!
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