Parsley Energy (PE) Update - Feb 7

[dan_s]

Parsley's all stock merger with Jagged Peak closed on January 10th.
I have updated my Pro Forma forecast model for the company and it will be posted to the EPG website this afternoon.
I've followed and modeled both companies for several years, so I have a HIGH level of confidence in my Pro Forma forecast.

Highlights:
> Parsley increased production by more than 29% YOY in 2019 to approximately 141,500 Boepd and an exit rate over 150,000 Boepd.
> Jagged Peak brings in another 48,000 Boepd.
> My 2020 forecast is based on 205,000 Boepd that will probably be increased with more guidance from Parsley.
> PE is trading at $17.07 at the time of this post.
> PE generated approximately $4.50 operating cash flow per share in 2019 and should generate $5.00 to $5.50 operating CFPS in 2020.
> Since the date the merger closed, 8 Wall Street firms published new reports on PE. Their price targets range from $20 to $28. < My valuation is at the high end of this range.

AUSTIN, Texas, Jan. 10, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Parsley Energy, Inc. (NYSE: PE) ("Parsley," or "Parsley Energy") today announced that it has completed its acquisition of Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (NYSE: JAG) ("Jagged Peak"). The acquisition was previously approved by Parsley shareholders at a special meeting held on January 9, 2020, where more than 99.5% of the votes cast by Parsley stockholders were voted in favor of the proposal to issue Parsley common stock to the holders of Jagged Peak common stock as consideration for the acquisition.

Acquisition Details

At the effective time of the acquisition, each share of Jagged Peak common stock was converted into the right to receive 0.447 shares of Parsley Class A common stock. As a result of the transaction, Jagged Peak common stock will no longer be listed for trading on NYSE, and Jagged Peak will suspend its reporting obligations under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

In connection with the closing of the transaction, Parsley announced the appointment of S. Wil VanLoh, Jr. and Jim Kleckner to its Board of Directors. Mr. VanLoh is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Quantum Energy Partners and formerly served as a Jagged Peak director. Mr. Kleckner was formerly President and Chief Executive Officer of Jagged Peak and also served as a Jagged Peak director.

Management Commentary

"We first publicly announced our proposed combination with Jagged Peak less than ninety days ago," said Matt Gallagher, Parsley's President and CEO. "This collective expediency to closing allows our team to hit the ground running on these complementary, high margin assets and start capturing tangible synergies that will enhance value for our combined shareholder base. Execution will continue to speak louder than words, and our integration efforts will retain the sense of urgency and accountability that defined our successful 2019 action plan. Ultimately, we expect that the culmination of this hard work will be a more capital efficient enterprise with more free cash flow. Finally, I am excited to formally welcome Wil and Jim to our Board. I believe the Company and our shareholders will be well served by their sound financial acumen, considerable experience, and extensive network of industry contacts."

About Parsley Energy, Inc.

Parsley Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of unconventional oil and natural gas properties in the Permian Basin. For more information, visit Parsley's website at www.parsleyenergy.com.