EIA Weekly Petroleum Report - Feb 10

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dan_s
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EIA Weekly Petroleum Report - Feb 10

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Summary of Weekly Petroleum Data for the week ending February 5, 2021

U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 14.8 million barrels per day during the week ending February 5, 2021 which was 152,000 barrels per day more than the previous week’s average.
Refineries operated at 83.0% of their operable capacity last week. < Good news.
Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 8.7 million barrels per day.
Distillate fuel production increased last week, averaging 4.7 million barrels per day.

U.S. crude oil imports averaged 5.9 million barrels per day last week, decreased by 0.7 million barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged
about 5.9 million barrels per day, 12.0% less than the same four-week period last year. < Increasing refinery utilization + declining imports = falling crude oil inventories.
Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 657,000 barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 356,000 barrels per day.

> U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 6.6 million barrels from the previous week. At 469.0 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about 2% above the five year average for this time of year.
> Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 4.3 million barrels last week and are about 0% below the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline and blending components inventories both increased last week.
> Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.7 million barrels last week and are about 7% above the five year average for this time of year.
> Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 4.5 million barrels last week and are about 9% below the five year average for this time of year. < Bullish for NGL prices.
>> Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 11.2 million barrels last week.

Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 19.5 million barrels a day, down by 5.8% from the same period last year.
Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied averaged 7.9 million barrels a day, down by 10.1% from the same period last year.
Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 4.2 million barrels a day over the past four weeks, up by 1.9% from the same period last year.
Jet fuel product supplied was down 33.7% compared with the same four-week period last year.
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Declining global inventories (during a seasonal period of low demand) is the PRIMARY DRIVER of rising oil prices. SUPER COLD weather in upper half of the U.S. is likely to cause well freeze offs, so lower U.S. production will contribute to the falling inventories in February.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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