Reuters reported U.S. crude oil production is expected to fall by 200,000 b/d in 2021 to 11.08 million b/d, the EIA said on Wednesday, noting that Hurricane Ida should force a bigger decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 160,000 b/d. The agency said it expects U.S. petroleum and other liquid fuel consumption to rise 1.55 million b/d to 19.74 million b/d in 2021, a smaller increase compared with a previous forecast for a rise of 1.58 million b/d.
For 2022, U.S. crude output is expected to increase to average about 11.72 million b/d, driven by growth in shale production. Demand for 2022 is expected to rise 890,000 b/d to 20.63 million b/d, a bigger increase than the agency's previous forecast for a rise of 860,000 b/d.
U.S. crude oil production peaked at 12.86 million b/d in November, 2019. Actual production in June, 2021 was 11.31 million b/d in the U.S.
Globally, an estimated 98.4 million b/d of petroleum and liquid fuels was consumed globally in August, an increase of 5.7 million b/d from August 2020 but still 4 million b/d less than in August 2019, the EIA said.
U.S. Oil Production not snapping as fast as expected
U.S. Oil Production not snapping as fast as expected
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
Energy Prospectus Group