Weekly Aegis update 3/25

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Fraser921
Posts: 3240
Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2021 11:48 am

Weekly Aegis update 3/25

Post by Fraser921 »

https://www.linkedin.com/video/event/ur ... 560519680/

at 14 minute mark, they discuss swaps and collars...interesting

Say that there is "call skew" favoring collars

NG is up from 4.60 to 5.60 in less than 9 days driving the gassy names

Other topics: Counter-parties have to assess risks and don't have an unlimited budget

Heating oil: Summer vs winter is a 5 cent spread, normally .25 cents therefore summer is overvalued or winter is undervalued.
Points to short term diesel shortage. Saw some comments that rationing is coming. That sure will help supply chain!>my comment
dan_s
Posts: 37329
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Weekly Aegis update 3/25

Post by dan_s »

If Putin cuts off Europe's diesel supply, the Euro Zone is toast.

BTW the U.S. also imports diesel from Russia.

This country's farmers must have diesel to keep our grocery stores full.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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