Comstock Resources (CRK)

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dan_s
Posts: 37392
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Comstock Resources (CRK)

Post by dan_s »

Comstock reported a first quarter loss but Q2 will include a big gain on the sale of their West Texas assets, about $250 million gain. They are ramping up production in the Eagle Ford, so I expect this to be the last quarter with a reported loss.

I am working on the forecast model and should have it posted under the Watch List Tab late today.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 37392
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Comstock Resources (CRK)

Post by dan_s »

Comstock Resources (CRK): An updated Net Income & Cash Flow Forecast model has been posted under the Watch List Tab. CRK is in our Small-Cap Growth Portfolio. You can find my adjusted Fair Value Estimate at the bottom of the forecast model.

CRK is going to report a $250 million gain on the sale of their West Texas assets to ROSE in the 2nd quarter. The deal should close in a couple weeks. CRK will have a much improved balance sheet, including $325 million in cash on the balance sheet, after the sale.

First Call's Price Target is $21.32 and my Fair Value Estimate is much higher.

CRK should generate over $6.00/share of cash flow from continuing operations this year and over $8.00 CFPS in 2014. Most of their oil for 2013 is hedged with SWAPS tied to WTI at $98.69/bbl and none of their natural gas is hedged. If gas prices drift higher, it will do wonders for this one.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 37392
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: Comstock Resources (CRK)

Post by dan_s »

Comstock Resources (CRK): An updated Net Income & Cash Flow Forecast model has been posted under the Watch List Tab. CRK is in our Small-Cap Growth Portfolio. You can find my adjusted Fair Value Estimate at the bottom of the forecast model.

CRK is going to report a $250 million gain on the sale of their West Texas assets to ROSE in the 2nd quarter. The deal should close in a couple weeks. CRK will have a much improved balance sheet, including $325 million in cash on the balance sheet, after the sale.

First Call's Price Target is $21.32 and my Fair Value Estimate is much higher.

CRK should generate over $6.00/share of cash flow from continuing operations this year and over $8.00 CFPS in 2014. Most of their oil for 2013 is hedged with SWAPS tied to WTI at $98.69/bbl and none of their natural gas is hedged. If gas prices drift higher, it will do wonders for this one.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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