trade strategy--sm vs nfx

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setliff
Posts: 1823
Joined: Tue Apr 27, 2010 12:15 pm

trade strategy--sm vs nfx

Post by setliff »

today I sold nfx and bought sm -- plan on taking advantage of sm's high beta vs nfx's more stable price. if or when sm overtakes nfx I will reverse the trade.

fwiw--time will tell. X (fingers crossed) comments welcome.

jim

ps-- for those aware, wife is improving.
par_putt
Posts: 565
Joined: Tue Apr 27, 2010 11:51 am

Re: trade strategy--sm vs nfx

Post by par_putt »

Hope SM works out.

Glad to hear Wife is improving. :D
dan_s
Posts: 37326
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: trade strategy--sm vs nfx

Post by dan_s »

Very glad to hear about your wife. I hope you can make it to our luncheon in Dallas on Tuesday.

NFX should have some very good things to tell us about STACK when they report 3Q results early next week.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
setliff
Posts: 1823
Joined: Tue Apr 27, 2010 12:15 pm

Re: trade strategy--sm vs nfx

Post by setliff »

lunch--i'm planning on it!
dan_s
Posts: 37326
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: trade strategy--sm vs nfx

Post by dan_s »

You should all listen to the replay of the SM Q3 conference call and follow along on their slides. SM is trading at less than half of my valuation. They have done a great job getting D&C costs down and getting LOE down. Operating results continue to be impressive and it has a very strong balance sheet.

Their recent downspacing pilots are proving that tighter well spacing in the Eagle Ford will significantly increase the recoverable reserves per acre. EVENTUALLY the market will warm up to this strong growth story.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
setliff
Posts: 1823
Joined: Tue Apr 27, 2010 12:15 pm

Re: trade strategy--sm vs nfx

Post by setliff »

today is just one data point, but

nfx down .02%; sm up 6.58%

nfx is at strong resistance and will take some real good news to break out.

X
dan_s
Posts: 37326
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: trade strategy--sm vs nfx

Post by dan_s »

I am expecting VERY GOOD news from NFX on STACK. All of you that own GST should listen carefully to what NFX, CLR, XEC and DVN have to say about SCOOP and STACK.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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