DNR

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SEIFER

DNR

Post by SEIFER »

Barclays upgrade to 23 today
dan_s
Posts: 37281
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: DNR

Post by dan_s »

DNR is much different than most E&P companies. It has VERY long-lived proven reserves. It is also HEAVILY weighted to oil.
It also has a large block of good acreage in the Bakken which the market has yet to fully price in.

At today's price, DNR is very low risk investment with a lot of upside.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
dan_s
Posts: 37281
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: DNR

Post by dan_s »

Sure looks like a Strong Buy at today's price. My Fair Value estimate is $22.50/share with a lot more upside if oil prices bounce of support at $88/bbl.

I'm going to wait until I see 4th quarter results for the Sweet 16 before I increase the commodity prices used in my forecast models.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
mdwitte

Re: DNR

Post by mdwitte »

Dan: Isn't DNR spending billion$ expanding their CO2 pipelines? How are they financing this...from cash flow or debt? At any rate, once these big CAPEX expenses are behind them (if it ever happens!) DNR should be a money machine! They are a true niche player...I plan to hold DNR "forever"!
dan_s
Posts: 37281
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 8:22 am

Re: DNR

Post by dan_s »

From my Net Income and Cash Flow Forecast model, which you can find under the Sweet 16 tab.

$1.14 Billion = 2011 Cash Flow (based on $78/bbl realized oil price)

$1.00 Billion = 2011 Capital Expenditures Budget.
Dan Steffens
Energy Prospectus Group
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